Silkeborg – Horsens

Superliga, Denmark · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · full time 3-3 (HT 0-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.81	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.14	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.09	−2.4%
Betfair (net)	2.06	−3.6%
bet365	—	—

€381 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.46	3.76	3.61	—
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.20	3.74	3.52	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.81	2.14	2.06	—
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.45	1.89	1.83	1.68
Over/under 2.5 · Under	3.24	2.13	2.06	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.10	3.23	3.09	2.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.91	1.45	1.42	1.37
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	1.94	2.87	2.69	2.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	2.07	1.53	1.51	1.41
Both teams to score · No	3.34	2.37	2.29	2.05
Both teams to score · Yes	1.43	1.73	1.68	1.62

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.