Midtjylland – FC Copenhagen

Superliga, Denmark · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · full time 2-1 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.17	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.43	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.36	−2.8%
Betfair (net)	2.37	−2.4%
bet365	—	—

€227 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.17	2.43	2.37	—
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.01	3.90	3.56	3.60
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.30	3.01	2.88	—
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.58	1.75	1.71	1.63
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.73	2.34	2.25	2.15
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.42	2.95	2.79	2.62
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.70	1.51	1.48	1.41
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.33	2.55	2.41	2.50
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.75	1.64	1.62	1.47
Both teams to score · No	2.89	2.63	2.48	2.25
Both teams to score · Yes	1.53	1.61	1.60	1.54

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.