Westerlo – Antwerp

Jupiler Pro League, Belgium · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · full time 5-1 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.11	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.64	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.50	−4.0%
Betfair (net)	3.56	−2.2%
bet365	3.50	−4.0%

€237 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.11	3.64	3.56	3.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.84	4.14	3.80	3.70
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.39	2.07	1.99	1.86
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.79	1.55	1.53	1.44
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.26	2.81	2.62	2.60
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.00	2.38	2.35	2.15
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.50	1.73	1.66	1.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.74	2.33	2.22	2.05
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.57	1.75	1.70	1.62
Both teams to score · No	2.46	2.90	2.69	2.57
Both teams to score · Yes	1.69	1.53	1.51	1.41

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.