Zwolle – Cambuur

Eredivisie, Netherlands · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · full time 0-1 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.87	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.64	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.49	−4.0%
Betfair (net)	3.56	−2.0%
bet365	3.40	−6.5%

€157 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.87	3.64	3.56	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.46	3.98	3.71	3.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.93	2.11	2.03	1.96
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.42	1.57	1.53	1.44
Over/under 2.5 · Under	3.41	2.76	2.63	2.60
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.02	2.39	2.29	2.15
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.98	1.72	1.67	1.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	1.97	2.37	2.23	2.05
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	2.03	1.73	1.69	1.62
Both teams to score · No	3.28	2.98	2.79	2.57
Both teams to score · Yes	1.44	1.50	1.49	1.41

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.