Start – HamKam

Eliteserien, Norway · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · full time 2-4 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.76	ref
Pinnacle fair	5.17	ruler
Pinnacle offered	4.91	−5.1%
Betfair (net)	4.99	−3.5%
bet365	5.00	−3.3%

€193 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.76	5.17	4.99	5.00
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.02	4.35	3.94	4.00
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.57	1.73	1.69	1.61
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.79	1.80	1.75	1.62
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.27	2.25	2.18	2.05
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.99	3.02	2.90	2.50
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.50	1.50	1.46	1.47
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.66	2.76	2.60	2.45
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.60	1.57	1.54	1.46
Both teams to score · No	2.44	2.25	2.16	1.96
Both teams to score · Yes	1.70	1.80	1.72	1.71

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.