KFUM Oslo – Vaalerenga IF

Eliteserien, Norway · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 17:00 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.88	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.81	−2.6%
Betfair (net)	2.73	−5.4%
bet365	2.57	−10.9%

€17 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	2.66	2.56	2.40
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	3.60	3.52	3.60
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	2.88	2.73	2.57
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	1.72	1.65	1.57
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	2.40	2.35	2.15
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	2.74	2.61	2.25
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	1.58	1.55	1.54
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	2.53	2.39	2.32
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.65	1.63	1.49
Both teams to score · No	—	2.80	2.56	2.32
Both teams to score · Yes	—	1.55	1.55	1.49

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.