Wrexham – West Brom

Championship, England · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · full time 1-2 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.35	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.26	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.20	−2.5%
Betfair (net)	2.22	−1.8%
bet365	2.10	−6.9%

€156 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.38	3.64	3.47	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.58	3.54	3.38	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.35	2.26	2.22	2.10
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.18	2.28	2.20	2.15
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.84	1.78	1.74	1.62
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.10	4.42	4.23	4.00
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.32	1.29	1.28	1.22
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.19	3.53	3.19	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.46	1.40	1.40	1.30
Both teams to score · No	2.05	2.05	1.99	1.86
Both teams to score · Yes	1.96	1.95	1.90	1.86

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.