Real Sociedad San Sebastian – RC Deportivo de A Coruna

La Liga, Spain · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 14:15 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	5.00	ruler
Pinnacle offered	4.76	−4.7%
Betfair (net)	4.71	−5.8%
bet365	4.50	−9.9%

€304 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	5.00	4.71	4.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	4.03	3.75	3.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	1.81	1.79	1.71
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	1.85	1.77	1.76
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	2.17	2.15	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	3.16	3.00	2.70
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	1.46	1.44	1.41
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	2.90	2.69	2.62
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.53	1.52	1.41
Both teams to score · No	—	2.24	2.20	2.01
Both teams to score · Yes	—	1.81	1.74	1.66

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.