Racing Santander – Valencia

La Liga, Spain · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · full time 2-2 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.47	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.40	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.35	−2.2%
Betfair (net)	2.35	−2.2%
bet365	2.20	−8.4%

€1305 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.69	3.19	3.04	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.49	3.70	3.47	3.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.47	2.40	2.35	2.20
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.45	1.75	1.72	1.68
Over/under 2.5 · Under	3.21	2.34	2.23	2.05
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.11	2.84	2.77	2.45
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.90	1.54	1.49	1.49
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	1.96	2.79	2.60	2.45
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	2.05	1.56	1.54	1.46
Both teams to score · No	3.23	2.66	2.46	2.20
Both teams to score · Yes	1.45	1.60	1.59	1.53

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.