Challenge League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 8 | 20 | 14.4 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.8 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Xamax (+1.4) | 1:1 vs Aarau (-0.5) |
2 | Winterthur | 8 | 15 | 12.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 3 | +2.0 | +0.5 | 0:1 vs Etoile-Carouge (+1.5) | 2:0 vs Kriens (-1.6) |
3 | Yverdon | 8 | 15 | 13.9 | +1.1On expectation | 2 | +0.3 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Xamax (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Rapperswil-Jona (-1.9) |
4 | Xamax | 8 | 12 | 11.0 | +1.0On expectation | 5 | -1.2 | +2.3 | 1:2 vs Wil (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Yverdon (-1.3) |
5 | Kriens | 7 | 10 | 9.1 | +0.9On expectation | 7 | +0.6 | +0.3 | 2:0 vs Winterthur (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Yverdon (-1.2) |
6 | Aarau | 7 | 11 | 11.5 | -0.5On expectation | 4 | +3.0 | -3.4 | 2:1 vs Xamax (+1.4) | 3:0 vs Etoile-Carouge (-1.6) |
7 | Etoile-Carouge | 8 | 9 | 10.9 | -1.9On expectation | 6 | -0.2 | -1.7 | 3:0 vs Aarau (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Xamax (-1.3) |
8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 8 | 7 | 9.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 8 | -0.8 | -1.4 | 2:0 vs Yverdon (+2.1) | 4:5 vs Wil (-1.3) |
9 | Wil | 8 | 6 | 8.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 9 | -2.9 | +0.0 | 4:5 vs Rapperswil-Jona (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Kriens (-1.4) |
10 | Stade Nyonnais | 8 | 2 | 6.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 10 | -1.9 | -2.5 | 0:0 vs Etoile-Carouge (+0.1) | 1:2 vs Rapperswil-Jona (-1.1) |
