Challenge League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 12 | 28 | 20.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.4 | +2.7 | 3:2 vs Yverdon (+1.6) | 0:0 vs Xamax (-1.0) |
2 | Winterthur | 11 | 21 | 18.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 4 | +4.0 | -1.3 | 0:1 vs Etoile-Carouge (+1.5) | 3:0 vs Xamax (-1.7) |
3 | Yverdon | 12 | 22 | 20.5 | +1.5On expectation | 2 | +0.8 | +0.6 | 1:2 vs Xamax (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Rapperswil-Jona (-1.9) |
4 | Kriens | 12 | 16 | 14.8 | +1.2On expectation | 7 | +1.7 | -0.5 | 2:0 vs Winterthur (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Yverdon (-1.2) |
5 | Xamax | 12 | 16 | 15.7 | +0.3On expectation | 5 | -2.2 | +2.5 | 3:0 vs Winterthur (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Rapperswil-Jona (-1.6) |
6 | Stade Nyonnais | 12 | 8 | 9.0 | -1.0On expectation | 10 | +0.4 | -1.4 | 2:1 vs Aarau (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Rapperswil-Jona (-1.1) |
7 | Wil | 11 | 11 | 13.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 9 | -2.5 | -0.3 | 4:5 vs Rapperswil-Jona (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Kriens (-1.4) |
8 | Etoile-Carouge | 12 | 13 | 15.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 6 | -1.7 | -1.0 | 1:2 vs Aarau (+2.0) | 4:1 vs Kriens (-1.4) |
9 | Rapperswil-Jona | 12 | 11 | 14.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 8 | -3.9 | +0.3 | 2:0 vs Yverdon (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Stade Nyonnais (-2.1) |
10 | Aarau | 12 | 15 | 19.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 3 | +0.3 | -5.0 | 1:3 vs Xamax (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Stade Nyonnais (-2.2) |
