Challenge League 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thun | 36 | 64 | 57.3 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +2.5 | +4.3 | 2:3 vs Lausanne Ouchy (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Xamax (-1.8) |
2 | Schaffhausen | 36 | 58 | 51.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | +6.6 | +0.1 | 0:3 vs Xamax (+1.8) | 3:0 vs Xamax (-1.7) |
3 | Grasshoppers | 36 | 65 | 59.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.8 | -0.9 | 0:2 vs Thun (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Lausanne Ouchy (-1.9) |
4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 36 | 58 | 56.4 | +1.6On expectation | 4 | -1.0 | +2.6 | 0:3 vs Aarau (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Chiasso (-1.7) |
5 | Aarau | 36 | 58 | 57.8 | +0.2On expectation | 2 | +5.4 | -5.2 | 3:1 vs Thun (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Lausanne Ouchy (-2.1) |
6 | Chiasso | 36 | 36 | 36.1 | -0.1On expectation | 10 | +6.8 | -7.0 | 0:3 vs Wil (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Kriens (-1.3) |
7 | Wil | 36 | 39 | 42.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 8 | +6.2 | -9.3 | 7:0 vs Aarau (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Chiasso (-1.7) |
8 | Kriens | 36 | 38 | 41.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 9 | -4.1 | +0.2 | 0:1 vs Xamax (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Thun (-1.5) |
9 | Winterthur | 36 | 43 | 49.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 6 | -0.3 | -5.8 | 0:1 vs Grasshoppers (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Chiasso (-1.6) |
10 | Xamax | 36 | 36 | 43.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 7 | +0.3 | -7.9 | 1:3 vs Thun (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Kriens (-1.8) |
