Challenge League 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Yverdon | 36 | 66 | 49.2 | +16.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +9.1 | +7.7 | 0:2 vs Wil (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Bellinzona (-2.3) |
2 | Lausanne Ouchy | 36 | 60 | 53.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 4 | +0.1 | +6.0 | 2:1 vs Lausanne (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Schaffhausen (-1.7) |
3 | Wil | 36 | 56 | 52.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 5 | +5.3 | -1.3 | 1:3 vs Thun (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Yverdon (-2.0) |
4 | Aarau | 36 | 57 | 54.3 | +2.8Outperforming | 3 | -3.2 | +6.0 | 2:3 vs Thun (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Bellinzona (-1.9) |
5 | Schaffhausen | 36 | 44 | 41.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 8 | -1.9 | +4.1 | 2:3 vs Thun (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Wil (-1.5) |
6 | Bellinzona | 36 | 37 | 37.0 | -0.0On expectation | 10 | +0.3 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Yverdon (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Schaffhausen (-1.5) |
7 | Lausanne | 36 | 61 | 62.0 | -1.0On expectation | 1 | +4.7 | -5.7 | 2:4 vs Lausanne Ouchy (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Bellinzona (-2.0) |
8 | Thun | 36 | 49 | 56.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 2 | -5.8 | -1.8 | 1:3 vs Lausanne (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Schaffhausen (-1.9) |
9 | Vaduz | 36 | 37 | 47.2 | -10.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -9.2 | -1.0 | 1:5 vs Lausanne Ouchy (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Schaffhausen (-1.7) |
10 | Xamax | 36 | 24 | 41.7 | -17.7Underperforming −− | 9 | -6.5 | -11.2 | 1:2 vs Vaduz (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Yverdon (-1.3) |
