Challenge League 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thun | 36 | 76 | 62.8 | +13.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +13.8 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs Sion (+2.1) | 5:2 vs Aarau (-1.9) |
2 | Sion | 36 | 79 | 70.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.2 | +8.4 | 0:2 vs Vaduz (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Thun (-1.8) |
3 | Bellinzona | 36 | 42 | 39.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 9 | -3.6 | +5.8 | 0:1 vs Xamax (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Baden (-1.6) |
4 | Vaduz | 36 | 49 | 49.2 | -0.2On expectation | 6 | +1.2 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Thun (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Baden (-2.1) |
5 | Stade Nyonnais | 36 | 43 | 45.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 7 | -0.5 | -1.6 | 0:2 vs Aarau (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Schaffhausen (-1.9) |
6 | Baden | 36 | 26 | 29.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 10 | -4.4 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Xamax (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Schaffhausen (-1.2) |
7 | Schaffhausen | 36 | 38 | 42.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 8 | -2.0 | -2.4 | 0:3 vs Stade Nyonnais (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Vaduz (-1.4) |
8 | Xamax | 36 | 49 | 54.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 3 | -1.5 | -4.2 | 2:3 vs Aarau (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Baden (-2.3) |
9 | Aarau | 36 | 43 | 50.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 5 | -0.6 | -6.8 | 5:2 vs Thun (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Stade Nyonnais (-2.0) |
10 | Wil | 36 | 44 | 51.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 4 | -2.5 | -4.9 | 1:3 vs Schaffhausen (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Baden (-2.2) |
