Challenge League 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vaduz | 36 | 81 | 61.4 | +19.6Outperforming ++ | 2 | +13.2 | +6.4 | 3:4 vs Yverdon (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Yverdon (-1.4) |
2 | Aarau | 36 | 80 | 66.4 | +13.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.5 | +8.1 | 1:2 vs Yverdon (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Stade Nyonnais (-2.3) |
3 | Yverdon | 36 | 67 | 57.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.5 | +6.9 | 1:2 vs Aarau (+2.0) | 3:5 vs Etoile-Carouge (-2.0) |
4 | Rapperswil-Jona | 36 | 44 | 40.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 8 | +2.3 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Lausanne Ouchy (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Stade Nyonnais (-1.8) |
5 | Xamax | 36 | 49 | 48.1 | +0.9On expectation | 6 | +3.6 | -2.8 | 3:0 vs Lausanne Ouchy (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Yverdon (-1.6) |
6 | Etoile | 6 | 8 | 7.8 | +0.2On expectation | 11 | +0.2 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Etoile-Carouge (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Etoile-Carouge (-1.1) |
7 | Etoile-Carouge | 42 | 48 | 51.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 5 | -4.9 | +1.3 | 1:3 vs Aarau (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Etoile (-1.9) |
8 | Wil | 36 | 40 | 45.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 7 | -5.0 | -0.5 | 0:2 vs Lausanne Ouchy (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Rapperswil-Jona (-1.7) |
9 | Stade Nyonnais | 36 | 28 | 34.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 10 | -0.7 | -6.2 | 0:1 vs Aarau (+2.4) | 4:0 vs Bellinzona (-1.3) |
10 | Lausanne Ouchy | 36 | 50 | 61.1 | -11.1Underperforming −− | 3 | -7.5 | -3.6 | 0:2 vs Xamax (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Rapperswil-Jona (-2.1) |
11 | Bellinzona | 36 | 23 | 37.5 | -14.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -3.6 | -10.9 | 2:1 vs Lausanne Ouchy (+2.3) | 2:4 vs Rapperswil-Jona (-1.6) |
