Challenge League 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thun | 34 | 68 | 60.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +7.4 | -0.1 | 2:3 vs Wil (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Wil (-2.0) |
2 | Vaduz | 34 | 51 | 44.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 7 | +10.5 | -3.9 | 0:3 vs Wil (+2.1) | 2:5 vs Aarau (-1.6) |
3 | Wil | 34 | 52 | 46.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 4 | -4.3 | +10.0 | 2:4 vs Aarau (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Vaduz (-1.9) |
4 | Etoile | 18 | 34 | 29.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 11 | +4.3 | 0.0 | 3:1 vs Etoile-Carouge (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Etoile-Carouge (-2.1) |
5 | Aarau | 34 | 58 | 54.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 2 | -4.3 | +7.9 | 2:5 vs Vaduz (+1.9) | 2:4 vs Wil (-2.1) |
6 | Stade Nyonnais | 34 | 36 | 36.6 | -0.6On expectation | 10 | -2.6 | +2.0 | 3:0 vs Lausanne Ouchy (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Schaffhausen (-1.5) |
7 | Lausanne Ouchy | 34 | 49 | 50.3 | -1.3On expectation | 3 | -4.4 | +3.1 | 3:0 vs Thun (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Schaffhausen (-2.1) |
8 | Bellinzona | 34 | 43 | 45.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 5 | -0.5 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs Thun (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Wil (-1.7) |
9 | Xamax | 34 | 41 | 45.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 6 | -4.3 | -0.2 | 1:2 vs Lausanne Ouchy (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Stade Nyonnais (-1.7) |
10 | Etoile-Carouge | 36 | 36 | 42.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 8 | 0.0 | -6.8 | 0:2 vs Etoile (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Vaduz (-1.5) |
11 | Schaffhausen | 34 | 25 | 37.2 | -12.2Underperforming −− | 9 | -13.6 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Lausanne Ouchy (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Stade Nyonnais (-1.7) |
