Allsvenskan 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sirius | 20 | 45 | 36.3 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +0.3 | +8.5 | 2:3 vs Djurgarden (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Malmo FF (-1.9) |
2 | Vasteras SK | 20 | 29 | 21.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 14 | +0.2 | +7.0 | 1:3 vs Hacken (+2.4) | 4:5 vs Goteborg (-1.4) |
3 | AIK | 19 | 32 | 24.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 11 | +0.1 | +7.0 | 3:2 vs Hammarby (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Orgryte (-2.0) |
4 | Brommapojkarna | 20 | 27 | 22.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 12 | +2.7 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs Djurgarden (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Vasteras SK (-1.6) |
5 | Djurgarden | 20 | 38 | 35.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 3 | -3.0 | +5.2 | 0:1 vs GAIS (+1.9) | 1:3 vs AIK (-2.2) |
6 | Elfsborg | 20 | 31 | 29.0 | +2.0On expectation | 7 | +3.1 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Malmo FF (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Brommapojkarna (-1.7) |
7 | Hacken | 20 | 32 | 31.2 | +0.8On expectation | 4 | -1.0 | +1.7 | 0:3 vs Sirius (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Vasteras SK (-2.2) |
8 | Malmo FF | 20 | 30 | 29.9 | +0.1On expectation | 6 | -7.2 | +7.3 | 0:1 vs Sirius (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Degerfors (-2.1) |
9 | Goteborg | 20 | 26 | 27.5 | -1.5On expectation | 8 | +0.2 | -1.7 | 1:4 vs Mjallby (+1.7) | 1:2 vs AIK (-1.7) |
10 | Orgryte | 20 | 15 | 16.5 | -1.5On expectation | 16 | -0.6 | -0.9 | 0:2 vs Mjallby (+2.5) | 3:4 vs AIK (-1.3) |
11 | GAIS | 20 | 27 | 29.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 5 | +0.5 | -3.4 | 2:0 vs Hammarby (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Djurgarden (-1.6) |
12 | Degerfors | 20 | 19 | 22.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 13 | -1.5 | -1.7 | 1:2 vs Malmo FF (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Elfsborg (-1.4) |
13 | Hammarby | 20 | 37 | 40.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 1 | +2.9 | -6.7 | 3:0 vs Mjallby (+1.3) | 3:2 vs AIK (-2.2) |
14 | Kalmar | 20 | 19 | 25.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 10 | +2.2 | -8.8 | 2:1 vs Mjallby (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Halmstad (-1.6) |
15 | Halmstad | 20 | 11 | 17.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.8 | -3.9 | 1:0 vs Kalmar (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Vasteras SK (-1.3) |
16 | Mjallby | 19 | 20 | 26.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 9 | -6.2 | -0.6 | 4:3 vs Sirius (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Orgryte (-2.3) |
