Allsvenskan 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vasteras SK | 25 | 38 | 28.0 | +10.0Outperforming ++ | 12 | +1.8 | +8.3 | 1:3 vs Hacken (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Halmstad (-2.0) |
2 | Sirius | 25 | 55 | 45.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 3 | -1.6 | +11.1 | 2:3 vs Djurgarden (+1.8) | 1:2 vs AIK (-2.0) |
3 | Brommapojkarna | 25 | 33 | 26.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 13 | +0.8 | +5.7 | 1:2 vs Djurgarden (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Vasteras SK (-1.6) |
4 | Elfsborg | 25 | 42 | 36.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 7 | +4.6 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Djurgarden (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Brommapojkarna (-1.7) |
5 | Hacken | 25 | 45 | 40.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 4 | -0.7 | +4.9 | 0:3 vs Sirius (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Vasteras SK (-2.2) |
6 | AIK | 25 | 37 | 33.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 10 | -4.2 | +7.5 | 3:2 vs Hammarby (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Orgryte (-2.0) |
7 | Djurgarden | 25 | 48 | 45.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 2 | -5.7 | +8.2 | 0:1 vs Hammarby (+2.1) | 1:3 vs AIK (-2.2) |
8 | Goteborg | 25 | 37 | 35.6 | +1.4On expectation | 8 | +2.2 | -0.8 | 1:4 vs Mjallby (+1.7) | 1:2 vs AIK (-1.7) |
9 | Orgryte | 25 | 19 | 19.4 | -0.4On expectation | 16 | +1.0 | -1.4 | 0:2 vs Mjallby (+2.5) | 3:4 vs AIK (-1.4) |
10 | Malmo FF | 25 | 37 | 38.0 | -1.0On expectation | 5 | -6.5 | +5.5 | 0:1 vs Sirius (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Degerfors (-2.1) |
11 | Hammarby | 25 | 49 | 52.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 1 | +1.5 | -4.6 | 3:0 vs Mjallby (+1.3) | 3:2 vs AIK (-2.2) |
12 | Halmstad | 25 | 17 | 21.4 | -4.3Underperforming | 15 | -1.3 | -3.0 | 1:2 vs Vasteras SK (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Vasteras SK (-1.3) |
13 | GAIS | 25 | 31 | 36.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 6 | -1.4 | -4.5 | 2:0 vs Hammarby (+1.8) | 4:2 vs Orgryte (-2.0) |
14 | Degerfors | 25 | 20 | 26.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 14 | -3.2 | -2.8 | 1:2 vs Malmo FF (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Elfsborg (-1.4) |
15 | Kalmar | 25 | 22 | 32.1 | -10.1Underperforming −− | 11 | -1.0 | -9.1 | 2:1 vs Mjallby (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Brommapojkarna (-1.9) |
16 | Mjallby | 25 | 23 | 33.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 9 | -8.9 | -1.8 | 4:3 vs Sirius (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Orgryte (-2.3) |
