Fastest starters
Vasteras SK42%
10 of their 24 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
AIK39%
7 of their 18 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
Blind ≥2% leans · 2025Backtest
Every lean, backed blind+23.1u
316 leans · 51.3% hit — walk-forward, not the live record
🏆
Sirius are 2026 champions — 38 pts
Their xPTS said 24.9: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+25.9uBlindly backing draws in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-6.0 ptsDegerfors produced performances worth 6 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
38%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 29.2' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Allsvenskan match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 38 | 24.9 | +13.1 | champions — earned it |
| 2 |  Hammarby | 27 | 30.0 | -3.0 | |
| 3 | Hacken |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
Degerfors
Halmstad
