Allsvenskan 2025 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Mjallby	30	75	49.6	+25.4Outperforming ++	3	+9.4	+16.0	1:2 vs Hammarby (+2.1)	2:1 vs AIK (-1.2)
2	Hammarby	30	62	53.3	+8.7Outperforming ++	2	+7.6	+1.0	1:3 vs Malmo FF (+1.8)	1:2 vs Mjallby (-1.9)
3	Halmstad	30	35	27.0	+8.0Outperforming ++	16	+1.8	+6.1	0:2 vs AIK (+2.5)	0:5 vs Degerfors (-1.5)
4	Goteborg	30	51	44.0	+7.0Outperforming ++	8	-3.2	+10.3	0:1 vs GAIS (+1.9)	0:1 vs Oster (-2.1)
5	GAIS	30	52	46.4	+5.6Outperforming ++	5	+2.6	+3.1	1:2 vs Hammarby (+2.0)	0:1 vs Goteborg (-1.6)
6	AIK	30	48	46.4	+1.6On expectation	6	+1.5	+0.1	0:3 vs Elfsborg (+1.7)	0:2 vs Halmstad (-2.3)
7	Djurgarden	30	49	48.3	+0.7On expectation	4	-1.8	+2.5	0:1 vs Malmo FF (+2.1)	1:0 vs Varnamo (-1.9)
8	Sirius	30	39	39.3	-0.3On expectation	10	-0.1	-0.2	3:1 vs Hammarby (+2.0)	1:3 vs Degerfors (-2.0)
9	Oster	30	26	28.9	-2.9Underperforming	15	-5.0	+2.0	0:1 vs Goteborg (+2.4)	1:2 vs Norrkoping (-1.5)
10	Degerfors	30	30	33.6	-3.6Underperforming	12	-11.0	+7.3	1:3 vs Sirius (+2.3)	1:2 vs Oster (-1.8)
11	Norrkoping	30	29	33.0	-4.0Underperforming	13	-3.0	-0.9	3:1 vs AIK (+1.9)	1:2 vs Degerfors (-1.7)
12	Elfsborg	30	40	44.5	-4.5Underperforming	7	-1.2	-3.4	1:2 vs Goteborg (+1.7)	1:2 vs Halmstad (-2.1)
13	Malmo FF	30	49	55.3	-6.3Underperforming −−	1	-6.1	-0.3	0:1 vs Djurgarden (+1.6)	1:2 vs Brommapojkarna (-2.2)
14	Brommapojkarna	30	31	37.4	-6.4Underperforming −−	11	-9.4	+3.0	1:2 vs Malmo FF (+2.4)	0:1 vs Halmstad (-2.0)
15	Hacken	30	35	42.1	-7.1Underperforming −−	9	-7.6	+0.6	0:2 vs Elfsborg (+2.1)	0:2 vs Oster (-2.0)
16	Varnamo	30	16	30.4	-14.3Underperforming −−	14	-6.9	-7.5	2:3 vs AIK (+2.3)	1:2 vs Sirius (-1.6)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Mjallby	30	75	49.6	+25.4Outperforming ++	3	+9.4	+16.0	1:2 vs Hammarby (+2.1)	2:1 vs AIK (-1.2)
2	Hammarby	30	62	53.3	+8.7Outperforming ++	2	+7.6	+1.0	1:3 vs Malmo FF (+1.8)	1:2 vs Mjallby (-1.9)
3	Halmstad	30	35	27.0	+8.0Outperforming ++	16	+1.8	+6.1	0:2 vs AIK (+2.5)	0:5 vs Degerfors (-1.5)
4	Goteborg	30	51	44.0	+7.0Outperforming ++	8	-3.2	+10.3	0:1 vs GAIS (+1.9)	0:1 vs Oster (-2.1)
5	GAIS	30	52	46.4	+5.6Outperforming ++	5	+2.6	+3.1	1:2 vs Hammarby (+2.0)	0:1 vs Goteborg (-1.6)
6	AIK	30	48	46.4	+1.6On expectation	6	+1.5	+0.1	0:3 vs Elfsborg (+1.7)	0:2 vs Halmstad (-2.3)
7	Djurgarden	30	49	48.3	+0.7On expectation	4	-1.8	+2.5	0:1 vs Malmo FF (+2.1)	1:0 vs Varnamo (-1.9)
8	Sirius	30	39	39.3	-0.3On expectation	10	-0.1	-0.2	3:1 vs Hammarby (+2.0)	1:3 vs Degerfors (-2.0)
9	Oster	30	26	28.9	-2.9Underperforming	15	-5.0	+2.0	0:1 vs Goteborg (+2.4)	1:2 vs Norrkoping (-1.5)
10	Degerfors	30	30	33.6	-3.6Underperforming	12	-11.0	+7.3	1:3 vs Sirius (+2.3)	1:2 vs Oster (-1.8)
11	Norrkoping	30	29	33.0	-4.0Underperforming	13	-3.0	-0.9	3:1 vs AIK (+1.9)	1:2 vs Degerfors (-1.7)
12	Elfsborg	30	40	44.5	-4.5Underperforming	7	-1.2	-3.4	1:2 vs Goteborg (+1.7)	1:2 vs Halmstad (-2.1)
13	Malmo FF	30	49	55.3	-6.3Underperforming −−	1	-6.1	-0.3	0:1 vs Djurgarden (+1.6)	1:2 vs Brommapojkarna (-2.2)
14	Brommapojkarna	30	31	37.4	-6.4Underperforming −−	11	-9.4	+3.0	1:2 vs Malmo FF (+2.4)	0:1 vs Halmstad (-2.0)
15	Hacken	30	35	42.1	-7.1Underperforming −−	9	-7.6	+0.6	0:2 vs Elfsborg (+2.1)	0:2 vs Oster (-2.0)
16	Varnamo	30	16	30.4	-14.3Underperforming −−	14	-6.9	-7.5	2:3 vs AIK (+2.3)	1:2 vs Sirius (-1.6)