Allsvenskanhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Orebro | 30 | 42 | 29.9 | +12.1Outperforming ++ | 15 | +10.3 | +1.8 | 3:2 vs Malmo FF (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Falkenberg (-1.6) |
2 | Mjallby | 30 | 47 | 35.5 | +11.5Outperforming ++ | 10 | +8.4 | +3.1 | 2:1 vs Hammarby (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Falkenberg (-1.6) |
3 | Ostersund | 30 | 33 | 26.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 16 | -5.7 | +12.0 | 0:1 vs Elfsborg (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Sirius (-1.4) |
4 | Elfsborg | 30 | 51 | 46.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 6 | +1.1 | +3.7 | 0:1 vs Goteborg (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Ostersund (-2.2) |
5 | Varberg | 30 | 37 | 33.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 12 | +5.5 | -1.8 | 3:2 vs Malmo FF (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Helsingborg (-1.6) |
6 | Sirius | 30 | 38 | 37.7 | +0.3On expectation | 9 | +0.3 | -0.1 | 4:2 vs Norrkoping (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Ostersund (-2.0) |
7 | Malmo FF | 30 | 60 | 60.9 | -0.9On expectation | 1 | +4.3 | -5.3 | 0:3 vs Goteborg (+1.2) | 3:2 vs Orebro (-2.3) |
8 | Hacken | 30 | 49 | 50.7 | -1.7On expectation | 5 | +3.4 | -5.0 | 0:1 vs Norrkoping (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Kalmar (-2.0) |
9 | Djurgarden | 30 | 48 | 51.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 3 | -2.4 | -1.0 | 3:2 vs Malmo FF (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Orebro (-2.1) |
10 | Helsingborg | 30 | 26 | 30.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 14 | -2.1 | -2.1 | 3:4 vs Norrkoping (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Ostersund (-1.6) |
11 | AIK | 30 | 39 | 43.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 7 | -4.1 | -0.6 | 0:2 vs Hammarby (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Orebro (-2.1) |
12 | Falkenberg | 30 | 24 | 30.4 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.9 | -2.4 | 3:2 vs Djurgarden (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Ostersund (-1.8) |
13 | Kalmar | 30 | 28 | 35.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 11 | -10.3 | +3.2 | 0:2 vs Hacken (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Ostersund (-1.8) |
14 | Norrkoping | 30 | 46 | 53.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 2 | -5.8 | -1.3 | 1:2 vs Djurgarden (+1.7) | 3:4 vs Helsingborg (-2.5) |
15 | Goteborg | 30 | 34 | 42.9 | -8.9Underperforming −− | 8 | -10.0 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs Helsingborg (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Orebro (-2.0) |
16 | Hammarby | 30 | 41 | 51.3 | -10.3Underperforming −− | 4 | -7.1 | -3.2 | 1:2 vs Djurgarden (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Orebro (-1.9) |
