Allsvenskan 2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Elfsborg | 30 | 64 | 54.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +2.1 | +7.8 | 0:4 vs Djurgarden (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Kalmar (-2.2) |
2 | Varnamo | 30 | 45 | 35.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 12 | -0.5 | +10.4 | 1:2 vs Djurgarden (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Degerfors (-1.8) |
3 | Kalmar | 30 | 45 | 38.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 8 | +4.7 | +1.6 | 0:3 vs Elfsborg (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Brommapojkarna (-1.9) |
4 | Mjallby | 30 | 41 | 36.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 11 | -5.7 | +10.5 | 1:2 vs Malmo FF (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Halmstad (-1.7) |
5 | Sirius | 30 | 42 | 38.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 9 | -0.6 | +4.1 | 2:4 vs Djurgarden (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Halmstad (-1.8) |
6 | Halmstad | 30 | 36 | 32.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 14 | +0.7 | +2.7 | 1:0 vs Hacken (+2.3) | 0:5 vs Varberg (-1.7) |
7 | Norrkoping | 30 | 41 | 37.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 10 | +0.4 | +2.9 | 0:3 vs AIK (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Brommapojkarna (-1.7) |
8 | Malmo FF | 30 | 64 | 60.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 1 | +2.9 | +0.3 | 1:3 vs Hammarby (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Mjallby (-2.3) |
9 | Hacken | 30 | 57 | 55.0 | +2.0On expectation | 2 | +11.6 | -9.6 | 4:2 vs Malmo FF (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Halmstad (-2.1) |
10 | Djurgarden | 30 | 50 | 51.1 | -1.1On expectation | 4 | +2.8 | -3.9 | 1:0 vs Hacken (+1.6) | 2:4 vs Sirius (-2.0) |
11 | Brommapojkarna | 30 | 33 | 35.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 13 | -3.9 | +1.8 | 1:3 vs Kalmar (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Degerfors (-1.9) |
12 | Hammarby | 30 | 44 | 47.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 5 | +2.4 | -5.4 | 1:0 vs Elfsborg (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Varnamo (-1.9) |
13 | Degerfors | 30 | 26 | 29.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 15 | -1.2 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs Brommapojkarna (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Varnamo (-1.4) |
14 | Goteborg | 30 | 34 | 39.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 7 | -3.5 | -1.6 | 4:2 vs Hacken (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Varberg (-2.0) |
15 | Varberg | 30 | 15 | 24.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 16 | -7.3 | -1.8 | 1:2 vs Goteborg (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Halmstad (-1.3) |
16 | AIK | 30 | 36 | 45.1 | -9.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -1.4 | -7.8 | 2:0 vs Hammarby (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Norrkoping (-1.9) |
