Allsvenskanhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | AIK | 30 | 59 | 49.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +13.3 | -3.4 | 1:4 vs Djurgarden (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Degerfors (-1.7) |
2 | Kalmar | 30 | 47 | 39.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 9 | +1.0 | +6.5 | 1:2 vs Norrkoping (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Hacken (-1.3) |
3 | Elfsborg | 30 | 55 | 48.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.1 | +6.4 | 0:3 vs Djurgarden (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Ostersund (-2.0) |
4 | Sirius | 30 | 37 | 32.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 14 | +3.3 | +1.3 | 2:3 vs Mjallby (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Orebro (-1.8) |
5 | Hammarby | 30 | 53 | 48.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 4 | +8.7 | -4.6 | 2:1 vs Malmo FF (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Elfsborg (-1.6) |
6 | Varberg | 30 | 37 | 33.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 13 | +0.5 | +2.6 | 2:3 vs Djurgarden (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Sirius (-1.3) |
7 | Djurgarden | 30 | 57 | 54.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 2 | +2.2 | +0.1 | 3:1 vs Malmo FF (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Varberg (-2.3) |
8 | Mjallby | 30 | 38 | 37.9 | +0.1On expectation | 11 | -1.8 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Malmo FF (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Sirius (-2.0) |
9 | Degerfors | 30 | 34 | 34.1 | -0.1On expectation | 12 | +2.7 | -2.8 | 2:0 vs Djurgarden (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Kalmar (-1.6) |
10 | Goteborg | 30 | 41 | 41.1 | -0.1On expectation | 8 | -2.9 | +2.7 | 2:3 vs Malmo FF (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Degerfors (-1.9) |
11 | Norrkoping | 30 | 44 | 45.4 | -1.4On expectation | 6 | +1.8 | -3.2 | 3:2 vs Malmo FF (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Kalmar (-1.7) |
12 | Malmo FF | 30 | 59 | 60.5 | -1.5On expectation | 1 | -3.9 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Elfsborg (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Mjallby (-2.3) |
13 | Halmstad | 30 | 32 | 39.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 10 | -3.5 | -4.0 | 2:3 vs Elfsborg (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Orebro (-1.6) |
14 | Orebro | 30 | 18 | 26.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 15 | -5.3 | -2.6 | 2:3 vs Hacken (+2.4) | 5:0 vs Ostersund (-1.3) |
15 | Hacken | 30 | 36 | 44.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 7 | -3.8 | -4.7 | 0:1 vs Norrkoping (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Orebro (-2.2) |
16 | Ostersund | 30 | 14 | 23.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 16 | -3.0 | -6.1 | 3:1 vs Elfsborg (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Varberg (-1.5) |
