Allsvenskanhub →Allsvenskan 2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GAIS | 30 | 48 | 38.0 | +10.0Outperforming ++ | 11 | +9.2 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs AIK (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Norrkoping (-1.9) |
2 | Hammarby | 30 | 54 | 44.3 | +9.7Outperforming ++ | 6 | +5.0 | +4.7 | 0:3 vs Djurgarden (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Varnamo (-2.1) |
3 | Mjallby | 30 | 50 | 40.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 7 | +8.8 | +0.4 | 2:1 vs Malmo FF (+2.2) | 2:1 vs GAIS (-1.5) |
4 | Halmstad | 30 | 33 | 25.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 16 | +7.9 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Hacken (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Vasteras SK (-1.1) |
5 | AIK | 30 | 54 | 47.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +4.0 | +2.3 | 0:2 vs Djurgarden (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Kalmar (-2.2) |
6 | Malmo FF | 30 | 65 | 61.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 1 | +6.0 | -2.8 | 0:1 vs Djurgarden (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Sirius (-2.4) |
7 | Djurgarden | 30 | 53 | 50.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 2 | -0.7 | +3.3 | 1:2 vs Elfsborg (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Hammarby (-1.9) |
8 | Sirius | 30 | 41 | 39.5 | +1.5On expectation | 8 | -1.7 | +3.2 | 0:1 vs Malmo FF (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Varnamo (-2.0) |
9 | Norrkoping | 30 | 34 | 33.1 | +0.9On expectation | 14 | -0.1 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Hacken (+2.2) | 0:4 vs Varnamo (-1.7) |
10 | Kalmar | 30 | 30 | 32.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 15 | -4.8 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs AIK (+2.4) | 2:3 vs GAIS (-1.6) |
11 | Elfsborg | 30 | 45 | 48.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 3 | +2.1 | -5.7 | 3:1 vs Malmo FF (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Kalmar (-2.0) |
12 | Brommapojkarna | 30 | 34 | 37.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 12 | -4.2 | +0.3 | 3:4 vs Goteborg (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Kalmar (-1.6) |
13 | Varnamo | 30 | 31 | 35.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 13 | -10.2 | +6.2 | 1:2 vs Hammarby (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Norrkoping (-1.7) |
14 | Hacken | 30 | 42 | 47.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -6.3 | +1.2 | 1:3 vs Elfsborg (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Halmstad (-2.2) |
15 | Goteborg | 30 | 31 | 39.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 9 | -7.6 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Hammarby (+1.9) | 3:4 vs Brommapojkarna (-1.7) |
16 | Vasteras SK | 30 | 23 | 38.1 | -15.1Underperforming −− | 10 | -7.3 | -7.9 | 1:0 vs Hammarby (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Halmstad (-1.9) |