Veikkausliigahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | KuPS | 17 | 36 | 29.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.6 | +1.8 | 0:4 vs HJK (+1.8) | 2:0 vs AC Oulu (-1.5) |
2 | Gnistan | 17 | 28 | 21.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 9 | +5.0 | +1.1 | 2:0 vs Inter Turku (+2.2) | 1:5 vs AC Oulu (-1.3) |
3 | TPS | 17 | 22 | 17.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 10 | +8.2 | -3.9 | 1:0 vs HJK (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Ilves (-1.2) |
4 | VPS | 17 | 27 | 23.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 7 | +5.5 | -1.6 | 2:1 vs HJK (+2.0) | 1:0 vs TPS (-1.6) |
5 | AC Oulu | 17 | 27 | 25.3 | +1.7On expectation | 4 | +3.6 | -1.9 | 0:1 vs HJK (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Ilves (-1.5) |
6 | Inter Turku | 17 | 31 | 31.0 | -0.0On expectation | 1 | -1.4 | +1.4 | 2:1 vs Ilves (+1.4) | 2:0 vs Gnistan (-1.9) |
7 | Lahti | 17 | 22 | 24.0 | -2.0On expectation | 6 | +1.4 | -3.4 | 2:1 vs AC Oulu (+1.7) | 2:3 vs SJK (-1.6) |
8 | Ilves | 17 | 22 | 24.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 5 | +4.0 | -6.3 | 1:0 vs AC Oulu (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Jaro (-1.8) |
9 | Jaro | 17 | 15 | 17.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 11 | +2.8 | -5.3 | 2:1 vs Ilves (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Lahti (-1.2) |
10 | HJK | 17 | 28 | 30.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 2 | -0.2 | -2.7 | 2:1 vs VPS (+1.4) | 1:0 vs TPS (-1.9) |
11 | Mariehamn | 17 | 5 | 12.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 12 | -3.6 | -3.8 | 1:1 vs Lahti (+0.4) | 0:1 vs VPS (-1.1) |
12 | SJK | 17 | 14 | 22.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 8 | -4.4 | -4.4 | 2:3 vs Lahti (+1.8) | 2:0 vs TPS (-1.7) |
