Veikkausliigahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | AC Oulu | 22 | 30 | 21.0 | +9.0Outperforming ++ | 11 | +4.3 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs HJK (+2.5) | 0:6 vs VPS (-1.0) |
2 | KuPS | 22 | 47 | 41.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.0 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Inter Turku (+1.5) | 2:1 vs SJK (-1.7) |
3 | HJK | 22 | 49 | 43.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.8 | +3.7 | 1:2 vs Honka (+1.7) | 0:1 vs AC Oulu (-2.4) |
4 | Haka | 22 | 37 | 31.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.8 | -0.6 | 2:1 vs Honka (+1.9) | 0:2 vs VPS (-1.8) |
5 | Honka | 22 | 41 | 37.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 3 | +3.9 | -0.2 | 2:0 vs KuPS (+1.8) | 2:1 vs AC Oulu (-1.9) |
6 | SJK | 22 | 31 | 30.0 | +1.0On expectation | 6 | +5.0 | -4.0 | 2:1 vs KuPS (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Lahti (-1.8) |
7 | Mariehamn | 22 | 24 | 25.4 | -1.4On expectation | 9 | +1.3 | -2.8 | 2:1 vs HJK (+2.4) | 1:5 vs Ilves (-1.6) |
8 | Inter Turku | 22 | 32 | 34.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 4 | -3.4 | +1.2 | 1:4 vs HJK (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Lahti (-1.8) |
9 | Ilves | 22 | 25 | 28.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 7 | -2.8 | -1.0 | 1:5 vs Mariehamn (+1.8) | 0:1 vs HIFK (-2.0) |
10 | Lahti | 22 | 18 | 23.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 10 | -7.1 | +2.1 | 2:3 vs VPS (+2.2) | 0:2 vs AC Oulu (-1.7) |
11 | VPS | 22 | 22 | 27.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 8 | -9.5 | +3.9 | 0:2 vs Haka (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Lahti (-2.0) |
12 | HIFK | 22 | 9 | 18.5 | -9.5Underperforming −− | 12 | -10.0 | +0.5 | 0:1 vs Ilves (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Lahti (-1.5) |
