Veikkausliiga 2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | KuPS | 22 | 49 | 41.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 2 | +1.9 | +5.4 | 1:0 vs Inter Turku (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Haka (-2.2) |
2 | HIFK | 22 | 33 | 27.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | -0.5 | +6.5 | 0:2 vs HJK (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Mariehamn (-1.6) |
3 | SJK | 22 | 37 | 32.4 | +4.7Outperforming | 4 | +3.4 | +1.3 | 0:1 vs Honka (+1.8) | 4:0 vs Haka (-1.5) |
4 | Ilves | 22 | 33 | 29.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 6 | +9.1 | -5.9 | 3:2 vs KuPS (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Mariehamn (-1.5) |
5 | HJK | 22 | 49 | 45.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 1 | -1.1 | +4.3 | 1:3 vs Inter Turku (+1.5) | 2:1 vs AC Oulu (-2.2) |
6 | Lahti | 22 | 32 | 29.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 7 | +2.1 | +0.6 | 2:1 vs Inter Turku (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Haka (-1.4) |
7 | Inter Turku | 22 | 39 | 37.8 | +1.2On expectation | 3 | +2.9 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs HJK (+2.0) | 0:1 vs HIFK (-1.9) |
8 | Mariehamn | 22 | 23 | 23.9 | -0.8On expectation | 10 | -3.6 | +2.7 | 0:2 vs Honka (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Haka (-1.5) |
9 | Haka | 22 | 24 | 26.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 9 | -3.2 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs KuPS (+2.4) | 0:3 vs KTP (-1.9) |
10 | AC Oulu | 22 | 18 | 21.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 11 | -1.1 | -1.9 | 2:1 vs HJK (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Haka (-1.3) |
11 | Honka | 22 | 26 | 31.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.1 | -2.7 | 4:1 vs Ilves (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Mariehamn (-1.9) |
12 | KTP | 22 | 8 | 14.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 12 | -6.6 | -0.3 | 0:3 vs Haka (+2.2) | 1:3 vs AC Oulu (-1.4) |
