Veikkausliigahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | VPS | 22 | 36 | 27.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 9 | +4.7 | +3.4 | 0:1 vs KuPS (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Ilves (-1.5) |
2 | KuPS | 22 | 43 | 37.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +1.1 | +4.9 | 2:1 vs HJK (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Mariehamn (-2.3) |
3 | SJK | 22 | 38 | 34.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 4 | +3.1 | +0.7 | 0:3 vs AC Oulu (+1.8) | 2:3 vs KTP (-2.2) |
4 | HJK | 22 | 44 | 40.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 1 | +2.1 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs SJK (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Lahti (-2.3) |
5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 31 | 28.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 8 | -2.0 | +4.9 | 1:4 vs SJK (+2.0) | 0:3 vs SJK (-1.5) |
6 | Inter Turku | 22 | 34 | 31.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 5 | +2.3 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs KuPS (+2.0) | 0:2 vs VPS (-1.6) |
7 | Honka | 22 | 35 | 34.5 | +0.5On expectation | 3 | +0.8 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs KuPS (+1.9) | 0:1 vs KTP (-2.1) |
8 | Lahti | 22 | 22 | 22.8 | -0.8On expectation | 11 | -1.6 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs HJK (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Mariehamn (-1.5) |
9 | KTP | 22 | 20 | 22.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 12 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 2:3 vs SJK (+2.4) | 0:2 vs AC Oulu (-1.3) |
10 | Haka | 22 | 24 | 28.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 7 | -0.7 | -3.9 | 0:2 vs Honka (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Mariehamn (-1.7) |
11 | Mariehamn | 22 | 15 | 22.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 10 | -6.8 | -1.0 | 0:1 vs KuPS (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Lahti (-1.6) |
12 | Ilves | 22 | 20 | 29.2 | -9.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.8 | -4.4 | 0:2 vs VPS (+1.8) | 1:2 vs AC Oulu (-1.7) |
