Veikkausliigahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Haka | 22 | 35 | 28.4 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 7 | +3.3 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs KuPS (+2.2) | 1:2 vs VPS (-1.6) |
2 | KuPS | 22 | 44 | 37.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.4 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Ilves (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Haka (-2.0) |
3 | HJK | 22 | 43 | 40.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 1 | +4.8 | -1.8 | 3:1 vs KuPS (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Lahti (-2.1) |
4 | Gnistan | 22 | 30 | 27.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 8 | +1.7 | +1.3 | 4:6 vs Ilves (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Ekenas (-2.0) |
5 | SJK | 22 | 36 | 35.3 | +0.8On expectation | 4 | +2.0 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Ilves (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Mariehamn (-2.1) |
6 | Ilves | 22 | 39 | 38.9 | +0.1On expectation | 2 | +2.0 | -2.0 | 3:0 vs HJK (+1.5) | 4:6 vs Gnistan (-1.9) |
7 | VPS | 22 | 32 | 33.0 | -1.0On expectation | 6 | -0.7 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs HJK (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Ekenas (-2.3) |
8 | Inter Turku | 22 | 31 | 33.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 5 | +3.1 | -5.3 | 1:2 vs KuPS (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Mariehamn (-1.7) |
9 | Mariehamn | 22 | 20 | 22.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 10 | +0.1 | -2.6 | 0:2 vs SJK (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Haka (-1.4) |
10 | Lahti | 22 | 19 | 22.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 11 | +0.7 | -4.1 | 2:1 vs HJK (+2.3) | 1:2 vs AC Oulu (-1.2) |
11 | Ekenas | 22 | 13 | 17.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 12 | -4.1 | -0.3 | 2:3 vs VPS (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Mariehamn (-1.3) |
12 | AC Oulu | 22 | 21 | 26.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 9 | +0.2 | -5.7 | 1:0 vs HJK (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Haka (-1.4) |
