League Onehub →League One 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 26 | 17.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 14 | +4.4 | +4.2 | 0:4 vs Leicester (+2.2) | 3:1 vs Huddersfield (-0.9) |
2 | Huddersfield | 14 | 29 | 24.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 2 | +1.3 | +3.3 | 0:2 vs Plymouth (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Bromley (-1.9) |
3 | Sheffield Wed | 14 | 23 | 21.0 | +2.0On expectation | 7 | -0.1 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Wycombe (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Notts County (-1.7) |
4 | Bradford City | 13 | 22 | 20.0 | +2.0On expectation | 8 | -0.6 | +2.5 | 0:1 vs Luton (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Cambridge Utd (-1.7) |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 | 14.4 | +1.6On expectation | 22 | +3.7 | -2.2 | 1:0 vs Doncaster (+1.9) | 4:1 vs Burton (-1.3) |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 21 | 19.5 | +1.5On expectation | 10 | +0.3 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Bradford City (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Plymouth (-1.5) |
7 | Burton | 15 | 17 | 15.6 | +1.4On expectation | 18 | +1.5 | -0.0 | 0:1 vs Plymouth (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Notts County (-1.1) |
8 | Notts County | 12 | 14 | 12.8 | +1.1On expectation | 24 | +0.6 | +0.5 | 0:2 vs Mansfield (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Oxford Utd (-1.5) |
9 | MK Dons | 14 | 21 | 20.0 | +1.0On expectation | 9 | +2.5 | -1.5 | 2:1 vs Luton (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Wigan (-1.3) |
10 | Stockport County | 15 | 29 | 28.0 | +1.0On expectation | 1 | +1.3 | -0.3 | 1:3 vs Plymouth (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Blackpool (-2.0) |
11 | Luton | 14 | 24 | 23.1 | +0.8On expectation | 4 | +1.3 | -0.4 | 2:0 vs Stockport County (+1.6) | 2:1 vs MK Dons (-1.7) |
12 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 17 | 16.2 | +0.8On expectation | 17 | -1.1 | +1.9 | 0:2 vs Wigan (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Barnsley (-1.6) |
13 | Mansfield | 13 | 19 | 18.3 | +0.8On expectation | 12 | +2.0 | -1.3 | 5:2 vs Luton (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Notts County (-1.7) |
14 | Stevenage | 12 | 16 | 15.3 | +0.7On expectation | 20 | +1.3 | -0.6 | 2:1 vs Luton (+1.9) | 0:1 vs MK Dons (-1.7) |
15 | Plymouth | 15 | 23 | 22.4 | +0.6On expectation | 5 | -1.7 | +2.3 | 2:3 vs Cambridge Utd (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Burton (-2.1) |
16 | Wycombe | 13 | 18 | 19.0 | -1.0On expectation | 11 | -1.9 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Wigan (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Sheffield Wed (-1.5) |
17 | Reading | 15 | 22 | 23.5 | -1.5On expectation | 3 | +3.8 | -5.3 | 1:5 vs MK Dons (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Wigan (-1.8) |
18 | Leicester | 13 | 19 | 22.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 6 | -3.6 | +0.5 | 3:4 vs Stockport County (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Burton (-2.0) |
19 | Wigan | 15 | 14 | 17.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 13 | +2.1 | -5.5 | 1:0 vs Reading (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Leyton Orient (-1.7) |
20 | Bromley | 13 | 9 | 13.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 23 | -2.1 | -2.0 | 2:1 vs Huddersfield (+2.1) | 0:2 vs AFC Wimbledon (-1.5) |
21 | Blackpool | 13 | 12 | 16.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 16 | -0.8 | -3.5 | 1:2 vs Stockport County (+2.2) | 1:0 vs AFC Wimbledon (-1.4) |
22 | Doncaster | 13 | 12 | 17.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 15 | -0.9 | -4.1 | 2:0 vs Sheffield Wed (+1.6) | 1:0 vs AFC Wimbledon (-1.6) |
23 | Peterborough | 13 | 10 | 15.4 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 19 | -3.5 | -1.9 | 1:3 vs Leicester (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Doncaster (-1.4) |
24 | Barnsley | 13 | 9 | 14.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 21 | -3.5 | -2.4 | 1:3 vs Leyton Orient (+1.9) | 1:5 vs Stevenage (-1.5) |