League Onehub →League One 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bradford City | 7 | 15 | 10.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 7 | +0.5 | +3.7 | 0:1 vs Luton (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Cambridge Utd (-1.7) |
2 | Sheffield Wed | 7 | 14 | 10.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 10 | -1.2 | +5.1 | 1:2 vs Wycombe (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Bradford City (-1.3) |
3 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 11 | 7.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 23 | +0.1 | +3.0 | 0:4 vs Leicester (+2.2) | 3:1 vs Huddersfield (-0.9) |
4 | Burton | 8 | 12 | 9.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 15 | +0.6 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Plymouth (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Notts County (-1.1) |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 | 9.1 | +3.0Outperforming | 14 | +3.1 | -0.2 | 1:0 vs Doncaster (+1.9) | 4:1 vs Burton (-1.3) |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 13 | 10.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 6 | +1.0 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Bradford City (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Huddersfield (-1.3) |
7 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 10 | 9.0 | +1.0On expectation | 17 | -2.9 | +3.9 | 0:2 vs Wigan (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Barnsley (-1.6) |
8 | Plymouth | 8 | 13 | 12.2 | +0.8On expectation | 2 | -0.9 | +1.8 | 2:3 vs Doncaster (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Burton (-2.1) |
9 | Reading | 7 | 11 | 10.8 | +0.2On expectation | 8 | +2.4 | -2.2 | 5:0 vs Mansfield (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Cambridge Utd (-1.4) |
10 | Stevenage | 7 | 9 | 8.9 | +0.1On expectation | 19 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 2:1 vs Luton (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Oxford Utd (-1.4) |
11 | Huddersfield | 7 | 12 | 12.0 | -0.0On expectation | 3 | +1.2 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Cambridge Utd (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Bromley (-1.9) |
12 | Bromley | 7 | 8 | 8.2 | -0.1On expectation | 22 | -1.2 | +1.1 | 2:1 vs Huddersfield (+2.1) | 0:2 vs AFC Wimbledon (-1.5) |
13 | Notts County | 7 | 7 | 7.4 | -0.4On expectation | 24 | +0.1 | -0.6 | 2:1 vs Burton (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Bradford City (-1.2) |
14 | Mansfield | 7 | 8 | 8.7 | -0.7On expectation | 21 | +3.1 | -3.8 | 5:2 vs Luton (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Peterborough (-1.5) |
15 | Wycombe | 8 | 10 | 10.7 | -0.7On expectation | 9 | -2.8 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Wigan (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Sheffield Wed (-1.5) |
16 | Barnsley | 7 | 8 | 8.8 | -0.8On expectation | 20 | -1.9 | +1.0 | 1:3 vs Leyton Orient (+1.9) | 1:5 vs Stevenage (-1.5) |
17 | Stockport County | 8 | 13 | 13.9 | -0.9On expectation | 1 | -1.9 | +1.0 | 1:3 vs Plymouth (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Blackpool (-2.0) |
18 | Blackpool | 7 | 8 | 8.9 | -0.9On expectation | 18 | -1.0 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs Stockport County (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Barnsley (-1.2) |
19 | Leicester | 7 | 9 | 11.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 5 | -2.7 | +0.6 | 3:4 vs Stockport County (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Burton (-2.0) |
20 | MK Dons | 7 | 6 | 9.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 12 | -1.5 | -2.2 | 2:2 vs Oxford Utd (+-0.2) | 3:1 vs Wigan (-1.3) |
21 | Luton | 7 | 8 | 11.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 4 | -2.0 | -1.7 | 2:0 vs Stockport County (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Bradford City (-1.6) |
22 | Doncaster | 7 | 6 | 10.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 11 | -2.8 | -1.4 | 0:2 vs Peterborough (+1.6) | 1:0 vs AFC Wimbledon (-1.6) |
23 | Peterborough | 8 | 5 | 9.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 13 | -1.6 | -2.7 | 2:1 vs Mansfield (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Doncaster (-1.4) |
24 | Wigan | 7 | 4 | 9.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 16 | -2.5 | -2.5 | 3:1 vs MK Dons (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Leyton Orient (-1.7) |