League One 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bromley | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 18 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Barnsley (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Barnsley (1.8) |
2 | Stockport County | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 17 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:3 vs Plymouth (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Plymouth (1.8) |
3 | Sheffield Wed | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 15 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs Leyton Orient (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Leyton Orient (1.7) |
4 | Luton | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 9 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 3:4 vs Reading (+1.5) | 3:4 vs Reading (1.5) |
5 | Mansfield | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 5 | +1.4 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Doncaster (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Doncaster (1.4) |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 4 | +1.4 | 0.0 | 3:2 vs Wigan (+1.4) | 3:2 vs Wigan (1.4) |
7 | Bradford City | 1 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1On expectation | 2 | +1.1 | 0.0 | 2:0 vs Peterborough (+1.1) | 2:0 vs Peterborough (1.1) |
8 | Huddersfield | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0On expectation | 1 | +1.0 | 0.0 | 3:0 vs AFC Wimbledon (+1.0) | 3:0 vs AFC Wimbledon (1.0) |
9 | Notts County | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 22 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs Leicester (+-0.0) | 1:1 vs Leicester (-0.0) |
10 | MK Dons | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 19 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 2:2 vs Oxford Utd (+-0.2) | 2:2 vs Oxford Utd (-0.2) |
11 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 14 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs Stevenage (+-0.3) | 1:1 vs Stevenage (-0.3) |
12 | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 13 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs Wycombe (+-0.3) | 1:1 vs Wycombe (-0.3) |
13 | Wycombe | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 12 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1:1 vs Blackpool (+-0.4) | 1:1 vs Blackpool (-0.4) |
14 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 11 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1:1 vs Burton (+-0.4) | 1:1 vs Burton (-0.4) |
15 | Oxford Utd | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6On expectation | 6 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 2:2 vs MK Dons (+-0.5) | 2:2 vs MK Dons (-0.5) |
16 | Leicester | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | -0.7On expectation | 3 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 1:1 vs Notts County (+-0.7) | 1:1 vs Notts County (-0.7) |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 3:0 vs Huddersfield (+-0.8) | 3:0 vs Huddersfield (-0.8) |
18 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:0 vs Bradford City (+-0.8) | 2:0 vs Bradford City (-0.8) |
19 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 21 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 3:2 vs Cambridge Utd (+-1.1) | 3:2 vs Cambridge Utd (-1.1) |
20 | Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 20 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 2:1 vs Mansfield (+-1.2) | 2:1 vs Mansfield (-1.2) |
21 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 16 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 3:4 vs Luton (+-1.2) | 3:4 vs Luton (-1.2) |
22 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 10 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1:2 vs Sheffield Wed (+-1.5) | 1:2 vs Sheffield Wed (-1.5) |
23 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 8 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1:3 vs Stockport County (+-1.5) | 1:3 vs Stockport County (-1.5) |
24 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 7 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs Bromley (+-1.5) | 0:1 vs Bromley (-1.5) |
