League Onehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gillingham | 46 | 67 | 55.4 | +11.6Outperforming ++ | 17 | +4.3 | +7.2 | 0:1 vs Peterborough (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Burton (-1.5) |
2 | Hull | 46 | 89 | 78.0 | +11.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.5 | +6.5 | 0:4 vs Portsmouth (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Burton (-2.0) |
3 | Peterborough | 46 | 87 | 76.9 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.9 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Charlton (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Gillingham (-2.1) |
4 | Blackpool | 46 | 80 | 70.8 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +4.4 | +4.8 | 0:1 vs Portsmouth (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Shrewsbury (-1.8) |
5 | Accrington | 46 | 67 | 58.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 14 | +5.1 | +3.2 | 0:1 vs Portsmouth (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Gillingham (-1.8) |
6 | Lincoln | 46 | 77 | 70.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 6 | -5.3 | +11.8 | 2:3 vs Blackpool (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Rochdale (-2.0) |
7 | Charlton | 46 | 74 | 69.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 8 | -5.5 | +10.2 | 0:2 vs Portsmouth (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Burton (-1.8) |
8 | Ipswich | 46 | 69 | 64.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 12 | +6.3 | -2.0 | 0:1 vs Hull (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Swindon (-1.7) |
9 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 74 | 70.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 7 | +5.3 | -1.3 | 0:6 vs Crewe (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Accrington (-1.8) |
10 | Burton | 46 | 57 | 54.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 18 | -4.8 | +7.3 | 1:0 vs Hull (+2.2) | 3:4 vs Wigan (-1.6) |
11 | Doncaster | 46 | 64 | 63.2 | +0.8On expectation | 13 | +1.9 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Rochdale (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Crewe (-1.7) |
12 | Crewe | 46 | 66 | 65.6 | +0.4On expectation | 10 | +1.7 | -1.3 | 1:2 vs Doncaster (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Gillingham (-1.8) |
13 | Rochdale | 46 | 47 | 48.2 | -1.2On expectation | 24 | -5.6 | +4.4 | 1:2 vs Lincoln (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Doncaster (-1.8) |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 51 | 52.5 | -1.5On expectation | 20 | -2.5 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Fleetwood (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Accrington (-1.5) |
15 | Wigan | 46 | 48 | 50.0 | -2.0On expectation | 21 | -6.4 | +4.4 | 0:1 vs Sunderland (+2.5) | 3:4 vs Swindon (-1.9) |
16 | MK Dons | 46 | 65 | 67.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 9 | +0.8 | -3.2 | 1:2 vs Sunderland (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Rochdale (-1.9) |
17 | Plymouth | 46 | 53 | 56.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 16 | +5.6 | -9.1 | 1:2 vs Sunderland (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Wigan (-1.7) |
18 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 54 | 57.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 15 | -8.2 | +4.4 | 0:1 vs Hull (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Northampton (-1.8) |
19 | Sunderland | 46 | 77 | 80.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 1 | -8.4 | +4.7 | 0:2 vs Portsmouth (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Wigan (-2.2) |
20 | Northampton | 46 | 45 | 49.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 23 | +1.7 | -6.0 | 1:0 vs Fleetwood (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Wigan (-1.5) |
21 | Fleetwood | 46 | 60 | 65.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 11 | +0.2 | -5.5 | 1:2 vs Lincoln (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Swindon (-2.0) |
22 | Portsmouth | 46 | 72 | 78.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 2 | -10.0 | +4.0 | 1:3 vs Sunderland (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Accrington (-2.0) |
23 | Swindon | 46 | 43 | 49.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 22 | -2.4 | -3.9 | 0:2 vs Fleetwood (+2.2) | 0:1 vs AFC Wimbledon (-1.5) |
24 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 38 | 52.9 | -14.9Underperforming −− | 19 | -6.2 | -8.7 | 1:2 vs Lincoln (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Rochdale (-1.7) |
