League Onehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Portsmouth | 46 | 97 | 79.6 | +17.4Outperforming ++ | 4 | +6.0 | +11.4 | 0:2 vs Lincoln (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Leyton Orient (-2.0) |
2 | Lincoln | 46 | 74 | 60.9 | +13.1Outperforming ++ | 12 | +2.5 | +10.6 | 0:1 vs Leyton Orient (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Wigan (-2.0) |
3 | Wigan | 46 | 70 | 56.9 | +13.1Outperforming ++ | 15 | +10.4 | +2.7 | 2:3 vs Peterborough (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Exeter (-1.6) |
4 | Derby | 46 | 92 | 84.3 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.1 | +4.6 | 2:4 vs Peterborough (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Northampton (-2.1) |
5 | Bolton | 46 | 87 | 80.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.9 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs Charlton (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Carlisle (-2.1) |
6 | Northampton | 46 | 60 | 53.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 19 | +6.8 | -0.2 | 1:2 vs Blackpool (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Shrewsbury (-1.8) |
7 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 77 | 70.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 8 | +0.8 | +5.5 | 1:2 vs Derby (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Port Vale (-1.9) |
8 | Exeter | 46 | 61 | 55.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 17 | -3.0 | +9.0 | 1:2 vs Barnsley (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Leyton Orient (-1.7) |
9 | Barnsley | 46 | 76 | 72.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 6 | -6.6 | +10.2 | 0:2 vs Wigan (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Cambridge Utd (-2.2) |
10 | Peterborough | 46 | 84 | 80.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 2 | -0.9 | +4.4 | 2:3 vs Derby (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Carlisle (-2.4) |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 65 | 62.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 11 | -3.7 | +6.7 | 0:3 vs Portsmouth (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Burton (-2.1) |
12 | Wycombe | 46 | 65 | 63.0 | +2.0On expectation | 10 | -1.9 | +3.9 | 5:2 vs Peterborough (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Shrewsbury (-1.8) |
13 | Stevenage | 46 | 71 | 71.0 | -0.0On expectation | 7 | -1.2 | +1.1 | 3:1 vs Derby (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Burton (-2.1) |
14 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 48 | 49.0 | -1.0On expectation | 22 | -1.4 | +0.3 | 2:3 vs Reading (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Cambridge Utd (-1.5) |
15 | Reading | 46 | 59 | 60.5 | -1.5On expectation | 14 | +6.6 | -8.1 | 0:1 vs Stevenage (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Shrewsbury (-1.9) |
16 | Blackpool | 46 | 73 | 74.7 | -1.7On expectation | 5 | +5.6 | -7.3 | 1:2 vs Peterborough (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Northampton (-2.2) |
17 | Burton | 46 | 46 | 48.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 23 | -3.2 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Stevenage (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Carlisle (-1.7) |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 57 | 60.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 13 | -4.8 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Bolton (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Burton (-2.0) |
19 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 48 | 53.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 20 | +0.1 | -5.2 | 0:2 vs Barnsley (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Cheltenham (-1.5) |
20 | Cheltenham | 46 | 44 | 51.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 21 | -4.8 | -2.7 | 1:2 vs Port Vale (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Carlisle (-1.9) |
21 | Charlton | 46 | 53 | 64.7 | -11.7Underperforming −− | 9 | -4.8 | -6.8 | 1:2 vs Derby (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Northampton (-1.8) |
22 | Fleetwood | 46 | 43 | 54.8 | -11.8Underperforming −− | 18 | -8.0 | -3.8 | 0:2 vs Bristol Rovers (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Shrewsbury (-1.7) |
23 | Port Vale | 46 | 41 | 55.8 | -14.8Underperforming −− | 16 | -9.9 | -4.9 | 1:2 vs Oxford Utd (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Cheltenham (-1.9) |
24 | Carlisle | 46 | 30 | 46.1 | -16.1Underperforming −− | 24 | -11.7 | -4.5 | 1:3 vs Peterborough (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Cheltenham (-1.5) |
