1st Divisionhub →1st Division 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hvidovre IF | 12 | 28 | 17.0 | +11.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.8 | +8.3 | 1:2 vs Vejle (+2.1) | 2:2 vs Vendsyssel (-0.8) |
2 | Vejle | 12 | 23 | 21.6 | +1.4On expectation | 2 | -1.0 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Aalborg (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.8) |
3 | AB Copenhagen | 12 | 18 | 16.9 | +1.1On expectation | 5 | +1.9 | -0.9 | 2:3 vs Koge (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Hillerod (-1.6) |
4 | Hobro | 13 | 16 | 15.8 | +0.2On expectation | 7 | -0.2 | +0.4 | 1:2 vs Vendsyssel (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.5) |
5 | Aarhus Fremad | 12 | 15 | 15.0 | -0.0On expectation | 8 | -0.5 | +0.5 | 2:1 vs Kolding IF (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Aalborg (-1.4) |
6 | Hillerod | 12 | 12 | 12.9 | -0.9On expectation | 12 | +3.1 | -4.0 | 1:0 vs AB Copenhagen (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Esbjerg (-1.3) |
7 | Fredericia | 12 | 20 | 22.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 1 | +0.5 | -2.7 | 0:3 vs Aalborg (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Esbjerg (-2.0) |
8 | Koge | 12 | 11 | 13.4 | -2.5Underperforming | 11 | -2.4 | -0.1 | 0:2 vs Vendsyssel (+1.7) | 2:3 vs AB Copenhagen (-1.4) |
9 | Vendsyssel | 12 | 11 | 14.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 10 | -3.4 | -0.4 | 0:2 vs Esbjerg (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Hobro (-1.5) |
10 | Kolding IF | 12 | 12 | 16.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 6 | -0.3 | -3.8 | 2:1 vs AB Copenhagen (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.4) |
11 | Aalborg | 13 | 15 | 19.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 3 | -4.2 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Aarhus Fremad (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Hillerod (-1.6) |
12 | Esbjerg | 12 | 10 | 15.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 9 | -2.5 | -2.5 | 2:1 vs Fredericia (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Vendsyssel (-1.6) |