1st Division 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hvidovre IF | 7 | 17 | 9.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.7 | +4.5 | 2:1 vs Fredericia (+1.9) | 2:2 vs Vendsyssel (-0.8) |
2 | Vejle | 8 | 18 | 14.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 1 | +2.0 | +1.2 | 2:3 vs Kolding IF (+1.4) | 2:2 vs AB Copenhagen (-0.8) |
3 | Aarhus Fremad | 8 | 13 | 10.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 4 | +1.3 | +1.2 | 2:1 vs Kolding IF (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Aalborg (-1.4) |
4 | Hobro | 8 | 13 | 10.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 3 | +0.3 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Vendsyssel (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.5) |
5 | Aalborg | 7 | 11 | 10.4 | +0.6On expectation | 5 | -1.5 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Aarhus Fremad (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Hobro (-1.3) |
6 | Fredericia | 7 | 12 | 12.5 | -0.5On expectation | 2 | +0.1 | -0.7 | 0:3 vs Aalborg (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.7) |
7 | Vendsyssel | 8 | 9 | 9.6 | -0.6On expectation | 7 | -1.9 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs Esbjerg (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Hobro (-1.5) |
8 | AB Copenhagen | 7 | 6 | 9.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 9 | -2.2 | -1.0 | 0:3 vs Vendsyssel (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Aalborg (-1.4) |
9 | Kolding IF | 7 | 6 | 9.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 8 | -1.0 | -2.2 | 2:1 vs AB Copenhagen (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.4) |
10 | Hillerod | 7 | 5 | 8.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 11 | +0.0 | -3.3 | 3:1 vs Hobro (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Esbjerg (-1.3) |
11 | Koge | 7 | 3 | 7.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 12 | -2.5 | -1.6 | 0:0 vs Aalborg (+0.1) | 0:2 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.1) |
12 | Esbjerg | 7 | 4 | 8.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 10 | -3.8 | -1.1 | 2:3 vs Hillerod (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Vendsyssel (-1.6) |
