1st Division 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Viborg | 22 | 56 | 39.5 | +16.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +10.7 | +5.9 | 1:2 vs Silkeborg (+1.8) | 1:1 vs Koge (-1.0) |
2 | Esbjerg | 22 | 48 | 36.8 | +11.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.7 | +7.5 | 2:3 vs F. Amager (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Hvidovre IF (-2.0) |
3 | Silkeborg | 22 | 49 | 41.1 | +7.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.5 | +1.5 | 3:1 vs Esbjerg (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Vendsyssel (-2.1) |
4 | Helsingor | 22 | 36 | 29.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 6 | +3.3 | +3.2 | 4:2 vs Silkeborg (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Koge (-1.8) |
5 | Koge | 22 | 30 | 26.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 8 | -2.6 | +5.8 | 0:2 vs Helsingor (+2.0) | 0:3 vs F. Amager (-1.3) |
6 | Fredericia | 22 | 32 | 33.0 | -1.0On expectation | 4 | -1.7 | +0.7 | 1:0 vs Silkeborg (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.9) |
7 | Hvidovre IF | 22 | 23 | 25.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 9 | -7.2 | +4.4 | 0:2 vs Esbjerg (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Skive (-1.8) |
8 | F. Amager | 22 | 28 | 31.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 5 | -2.0 | -1.4 | 1:2 vs Hvidovre IF (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Koge (-1.7) |
9 | Hobro | 22 | 24 | 28.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 7 | -1.4 | -3.2 | 3:2 vs Fredericia (+1.8) | 3:4 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.6) |
10 | Skive | 22 | 14 | 21.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 12 | -7.5 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Hvidovre IF (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.3) |
11 | Vendsyssel | 22 | 16 | 24.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 10 | +0.1 | -8.1 | 2:1 vs Silkeborg (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Hvidovre IF (-1.5) |
12 | Kolding IF | 22 | 14 | 24.0 | -10.0Underperforming −− | 11 | -4.1 | -5.9 | 2:1 vs Hobro (+1.8) | 2:4 vs Skive (-1.6) |
