1st Divisionhub →1st Division 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Esbjerg | 32 | 52 | 43.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 8 | +7.5 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Aarhus Fremad (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Hobro (-1.6) |
2 | Lyngby | 32 | 60 | 54.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.9 | +4.9 | 2:3 vs Kolding IF (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Hillerod (-2.0) |
3 | Hillerod | 32 | 50 | 44.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 7 | +5.0 | +0.4 | 1:2 vs Lyngby (+2.2) | 0:1 vs B.93 (-1.9) |
4 | Koge | 32 | 40 | 36.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 10 | +3.9 | +0.1 | 2:3 vs Horsens (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Middelfart (-1.6) |
5 | Horsens | 32 | 54 | 50.8 | +3.3Outperforming | 2 | +0.7 | +2.5 | 1:0 vs Lyngby (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Koge (-2.3) |
6 | Hobro | 32 | 42 | 41.3 | +0.7On expectation | 9 | -6.3 | +7.0 | 0:1 vs Aarhus Fremad (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Koge (-1.7) |
7 | Hvidovre IF | 32 | 46 | 45.5 | +0.6On expectation | 6 | -3.5 | +4.1 | 1:2 vs Lyngby (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Esbjerg (-1.7) |
8 | Aalborg | 32 | 46 | 49.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 4 | +1.3 | -4.5 | 0:1 vs Hobro (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Middelfart (-2.1) |
9 | Aarhus Fremad | 32 | 44 | 50.1 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 3 | -0.8 | -5.3 | 0:1 vs Aalborg (+1.8) | 1:2 vs B.93 (-2.0) |
10 | Kolding IF | 32 | 38 | 45.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 5 | -0.1 | -7.7 | 0:3 vs Aalborg (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Middelfart (-1.9) |
11 | Middelfart | 32 | 15 | 28.1 | -13.1Underperforming −− | 11 | -8.6 | -4.5 | 1:3 vs Aalborg (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Hillerod (-1.3) |