1st Division 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hillerod | 22 | 31 | 21.8 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 11 | +5.3 | +3.9 | 2:3 vs Vejle (+2.4) | 2:0 vs Helsingor (-1.2) |
2 | Hvidovre IF | 22 | 44 | 37.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.5 | +2.6 | 0:3 vs Helsingor (+1.8) | 0:4 vs Naestved (-1.9) |
3 | Vejle | 22 | 50 | 43.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.1 | +2.9 | 0:1 vs Sonderjyske (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Hillerod (-2.2) |
4 | Naestved | 22 | 32 | 28.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 8 | +1.3 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Fredericia (+2.2) | 2:3 vs F. Amager (-2.1) |
5 | Vendsyssel | 22 | 33 | 30.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 6 | +5.5 | -2.9 | 2:0 vs Vejle (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Nykobing (-2.2) |
6 | Helsingor | 22 | 37 | 35.3 | +1.7On expectation | 4 | -0.4 | +2.1 | 0:4 vs Sonderjyske (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Naestved (-1.9) |
7 | F. Amager | 22 | 23 | 22.4 | +0.6On expectation | 10 | +1.4 | -0.8 | 2:3 vs Naestved (+2.3) | 3:0 vs Hillerod (-1.2) |
8 | Nykobing | 22 | 17 | 19.4 | -2.5Underperforming | 12 | -1.5 | -0.9 | 1:2 vs Vendsyssel (+2.4) | 0:3 vs F. Amager (-1.3) |
9 | Hobro | 22 | 23 | 25.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 9 | +3.9 | -6.8 | 3:0 vs Vejle (+2.3) | 2:1 vs F. Amager (-1.5) |
10 | Sonderjyske | 22 | 35 | 39.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 2 | -5.7 | +1.5 | 2:3 vs Vendsyssel (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Hillerod (-2.2) |
11 | Koge | 22 | 25 | 29.9 | -4.8Underperforming | 7 | -7.0 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Vejle (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Fredericia (-1.7) |
12 | Fredericia | 22 | 21 | 30.4 | -9.4Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.9 | -5.6 | 0:1 vs Koge (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Nykobing (-2.2) |
