1st Divisionhub →1st Division 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Fredericia | 22 | 40 | 30.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 7 | +0.4 | +9.5 | 0:3 vs Hillerod (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Koge (-2.0) |
2 | Koge | 22 | 22 | 16.1 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 11 | -0.6 | +6.5 | 0:3 vs Odense (+2.7) | 0:2 vs Esbjerg (-1.1) |
3 | Odense | 22 | 49 | 44.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 1 | +0.5 | +3.8 | 1:2 vs Esbjerg (+1.4) | 0:3 vs Koge (-2.7) |
4 | Esbjerg | 22 | 34 | 30.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 6 | -1.5 | +4.6 | 1:2 vs Kolding IF (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Fredericia (-1.6) |
5 | Horsens | 22 | 40 | 37.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 3 | -1.5 | +4.2 | 3:2 vs Hillerod (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Roskilde (-2.3) |
6 | Hvidovre IF | 22 | 36 | 34.6 | +1.4On expectation | 5 | +6.6 | -5.3 | 0:1 vs Esbjerg (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Koge (-2.0) |
7 | Hillerod | 22 | 32 | 34.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 4 | -3.0 | +0.2 | 2:0 vs Horsens (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Fredericia (-1.9) |
8 | Kolding IF | 22 | 34 | 37.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 2 | -4.3 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Horsens (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Esbjerg (-1.8) |
9 | Hobro | 22 | 26 | 29.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 8 | -2.1 | -1.5 | 0:3 vs Vendsyssel (+1.8) | 4:1 vs Koge (-1.9) |
10 | Vendsyssel | 22 | 20 | 27.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 9 | -4.0 | -3.4 | 2:1 vs Kolding IF (+1.8) | 1:2 vs B.93 (-1.9) |
11 | Roskilde | 22 | 13 | 21.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 10 | -6.4 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs Horsens (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Koge (-2.1) |