1st Divisionhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sonderjyske | 22 | 49 | 41.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +0.1 | +7.9 | 1:3 vs Kolding IF (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Hillerod (-1.9) |
2 | Aalborg | 22 | 51 | 44.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.1 | +6.4 | 1:2 vs Hillerod (+1.3) | 1:2 vs Hobro (-2.1) |
3 | Hobro | 22 | 33 | 28.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 7 | -4.6 | +9.4 | 1:2 vs Aalborg (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Horsens (-1.5) |
4 | Vendsyssel | 22 | 36 | 31.4 | +4.7Outperforming | 5 | +1.6 | +3.0 | 0:3 vs Sonderjyske (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Hillerod (-1.6) |
5 | Hillerod | 22 | 30 | 27.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 8 | -3.0 | +5.5 | 0:2 vs Sonderjyske (+2.2) | 0:1 vs B.93 (-1.7) |
6 | Fredericia | 22 | 35 | 33.2 | +1.8On expectation | 4 | -3.5 | +5.3 | 1:3 vs Sonderjyske (+2.1) | 0:4 vs B.93 (-2.1) |
7 | Kolding IF | 22 | 33 | 34.4 | -1.4On expectation | 3 | -2.6 | +1.2 | 2:1 vs Horsens (+1.7) | 0:1 vs B.93 (-2.1) |
8 | Koge | 22 | 18 | 21.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 11 | -2.1 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs Helsingor (+1.9) | 1:7 vs B.93 (-1.8) |
9 | Horsens | 22 | 25 | 30.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 6 | -2.0 | -3.3 | 0:1 vs Hobro (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Hillerod (-1.6) |
10 | Naestved | 22 | 14 | 25.8 | -11.8Underperforming −− | 9 | -4.6 | -7.2 | 1:0 vs Hobro (+1.6) | 0:1 vs B.93 (-1.6) |
11 | Helsingor | 22 | 12 | 24.2 | -12.2Underperforming −− | 10 | -4.8 | -7.4 | 2:1 vs Naestved (+1.6) | 1:6 vs Hillerod (-1.8) |
