2. Liga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BW Linz | 7 | 18 | 13.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 1 | +3.8 | +0.5 | 0:1 vs St. Polten (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Kapfenberg (-2.2) |
2 | First Vienna | 7 | 16 | 11.8 | +4.3Outperforming | 2 | +2.0 | +2.3 | 1:0 vs Amstetten (+1.5) | 4:1 vs A. Salzburg (-1.5) |
3 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 7 | 12 | 7.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 15 | +4.1 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs St. Polten (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Liefering (-1.1) |
4 | Floridsdorfer AC | 7 | 13 | 9.3 | +3.6Outperforming | 10 | +5.0 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs St. Polten (+2.0) | 4:2 vs Sturm Graz II (-1.7) |
5 | Amstetten | 7 | 12 | 10.6 | +1.4On expectation | 4 | +2.2 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs Admira (+1.5) | 1:0 vs First Vienna (-1.2) |
6 | Wacker Innsbruck | 7 | 11 | 9.7 | +1.3On expectation | 7 | +2.5 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs St. Polten (+1.7) | 2:0 vs Floridsdorfer AC (-1.4) |
7 | Bregenz | 7 | 10 | 9.3 | +0.7On expectation | 11 | +4.1 | -3.4 | 4:0 vs Floridsdorfer AC (+1.5) | 2:0 vs Austria Vienna (Am) (-1.3) |
8 | A. Salzburg | 7 | 10 | 9.6 | +0.4On expectation | 8 | +2.5 | -2.1 | 4:1 vs First Vienna (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Austria Vienna (Am) (-1.7) |
9 | Sturm Graz II | 7 | 8 | 7.9 | +0.1On expectation | 14 | +2.1 | -2.0 | 4:2 vs Floridsdorfer AC (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Admira (-1.1) |
10 | Liefering | 7 | 10 | 9.9 | +0.1On expectation | 6 | -1.6 | +1.7 | 2:3 vs ASK Voitsberg (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Hertha Wels (-1.7) |
11 | Admira | 7 | 9 | 9.4 | -0.4On expectation | 9 | -1.4 | +1.1 | 1:3 vs Hertha Wels (+1.6) | 0:1 vs SK Rapid II (-1.6) |
12 | ASK Voitsberg | 7 | 9 | 10.3 | -1.3On expectation | 5 | -1.8 | +0.5 | 1:3 vs SK Rapid II (+1.4) | 2:3 vs Liefering (-1.6) |
13 | St. Polten | 7 | 9 | 11.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 3 | -0.5 | -1.7 | 1:3 vs Liefering (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Austria Vienna (Am) (-2.1) |
14 | SK Rapid II | 7 | 6 | 8.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 12 | -3.5 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Admira (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Floridsdorfer AC (-1.4) |
15 | Kapfenberg | 7 | 3 | 6.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 16 | -0.6 | -3.1 | 2:1 vs BW Linz (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Wacker Innsbruck (-1.1) |
16 | Hertha Wels | 7 | 4 | 8.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 13 | -5.3 | +1.2 | 2:3 vs Liefering (+1.9) | 1:2 vs SK Rapid II (-1.5) |
