2. Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Grazer AK | 30 | 60 | 49.3 | +10.7Outperforming ++ | 3 | +9.9 | +0.8 | 0:2 vs First Vienna (+1.6) | 3:0 vs SK Rapid II (-1.7) |
2 | Horn | 30 | 48 | 41.2 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 8 | +2.4 | +4.4 | 0:1 vs BW Linz (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Austria Vienna (Am) (-1.7) |
3 | Kapfenberg | 30 | 34 | 27.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 16 | +4.2 | +2.2 | 0:1 vs Sturm Graz II (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Dornbirn (-1.2) |
4 | St. Polten | 30 | 56 | 49.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | -0.7 | +7.0 | 0:1 vs BW Linz (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Kapfenberg (-1.9) |
5 | Dornbirn | 30 | 35 | 30.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 15 | -1.5 | +6.4 | 0:1 vs SK Rapid II (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Vorwarts Steyr (-1.6) |
6 | Amstetten | 30 | 45 | 40.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 10 | -0.9 | +5.0 | 1:0 vs BW Linz (+2.2) | 0:4 vs First Vienna (-1.6) |
7 | First Vienna | 30 | 43 | 39.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 11 | +0.3 | +3.0 | 2:0 vs BW Linz (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Austria Vienna (Am) (-1.9) |
8 | Floridsdorfer AC | 30 | 45 | 46.0 | -1.0On expectation | 4 | -1.6 | +0.6 | 2:1 vs BW Linz (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Dornbirn (-1.9) |
9 | Vorwarts Steyr | 30 | 32 | 33.3 | -1.3On expectation | 13 | +5.2 | -6.5 | 2:1 vs Admira (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Amstetten (-1.5) |
10 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 30 | 29 | 30.3 | -1.3On expectation | 14 | -0.7 | -0.6 | 2:1 vs BW Linz (+2.6) | 2:3 vs Dornbirn (-1.5) |
11 | Lafnitz | 30 | 41 | 43.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 5 | -0.6 | -2.1 | 1:2 vs Horn (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Dornbirn (-1.8) |
12 | BW Linz | 30 | 61 | 65.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 1 | +0.0 | -4.2 | 0:3 vs Grazer AK (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Austria Vienna (Am) (-2.5) |
13 | Liefering | 30 | 37 | 41.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 7 | +3.1 | -8.0 | 0:3 vs Lafnitz (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Kapfenberg (-2.2) |
14 | Sturm Graz II | 30 | 34 | 41.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 9 | -6.6 | -0.5 | 0:4 vs SK Rapid II (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Kapfenberg (-2.3) |
15 | Admira | 30 | 36 | 43.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 6 | -0.7 | -6.8 | 1:0 vs St. Polten (+1.7) | 0:1 vs First Vienna (-1.8) |
16 | SK Rapid II | 30 | 30 | 38.6 | -8.6Underperforming −− | 12 | -1.7 | -6.9 | 3:0 vs Grazer AK (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Dornbirn (-2.0) |
