2. Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kapfenberg | 30 | 54 | 37.3 | +16.7Outperforming ++ | 11 | +11.6 | +5.1 | 2:1 vs Ried (+2.3) | 3:1 vs Horn (-1.6) |
2 | Admira | 30 | 59 | 52.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.1 | +3.5 | 0:2 vs First Vienna (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Sturm Graz II (-2.3) |
3 | Sturm Graz II | 30 | 41 | 35.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 13 | +4.2 | +1.5 | 2:3 vs Admira (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Horn (-1.4) |
4 | First Vienna | 30 | 49 | 45.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 4 | +2.4 | +1.4 | 0:2 vs ASK Voitsberg (+1.8) | 4:1 vs Sturm Graz II (-1.9) |
5 | Bregenz | 30 | 38 | 34.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 14 | +5.7 | -2.1 | 1:2 vs Amstetten (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Stripfing (-1.3) |
6 | Ried | 30 | 65 | 63.1 | +1.9On expectation | 1 | -2.9 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs St. Polten (+1.5) | 2:3 vs SK Rapid II (-2.2) |
7 | St. Polten | 30 | 53 | 51.8 | +1.2On expectation | 3 | -1.2 | +2.4 | 2:4 vs Ried (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Stripfing (-1.8) |
8 | Amstetten | 30 | 42 | 40.9 | +1.1On expectation | 8 | +1.7 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs ASK Voitsberg (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Bregenz (-1.6) |
9 | Horn | 30 | 30 | 29.6 | +0.4On expectation | 15 | -0.2 | +0.6 | 1:3 vs Admira (+2.3) | 2:3 vs SK Rapid II (-1.2) |
10 | Liefering | 30 | 43 | 43.0 | -0.0On expectation | 5 | -2.0 | +2.0 | 3:1 vs Ried (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Horn (-1.9) |
11 | Floridsdorfer AC | 30 | 39 | 39.9 | -0.9On expectation | 9 | +1.5 | -2.4 | 2:1 vs First Vienna (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Kapfenberg (-1.6) |
12 | SK Rapid II | 30 | 37 | 39.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 10 | +0.8 | -3.1 | 2:3 vs Ried (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Lafnitz (-2.0) |
13 | Stripfing | 30 | 34 | 36.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 12 | +2.0 | -4.5 | 2:1 vs St. Polten (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Bregenz (-1.5) |
14 | A. Lustenau | 30 | 37 | 42.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 6 | -7.3 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Liefering (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Kapfenberg (-1.6) |
15 | ASK Voitsberg | 30 | 32 | 41.7 | -9.7Underperforming −− | 7 | -7.4 | -2.3 | 0:4 vs Floridsdorfer AC (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Horn (-1.9) |
16 | Lafnitz | 30 | 16 | 28.3 | -12.3Underperforming −− | 16 | -4.5 | -7.8 | 2:3 vs SK Rapid II (+2.2) | 1:4 vs Bregenz (-1.5) |
