2. Liga 2024-2025 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Kapfenberg	30	54	37.3	+16.7Outperforming ++	11	+11.6	+5.1	2:1 vs Ried (+2.3)	3:1 vs Horn (-1.6)
2	Admira	30	59	52.3	+6.7Outperforming ++	2	+3.1	+3.5	0:2 vs First Vienna (+1.8)	2:3 vs Sturm Graz II (-2.3)
3	Sturm Graz II	30	41	35.3	+5.7Outperforming ++	13	+4.2	+1.5	2:3 vs Admira (+2.5)	1:3 vs Horn (-1.4)
4	First Vienna	30	49	45.2	+3.8Outperforming	4	+2.4	+1.4	0:2 vs ASK Voitsberg (+1.8)	4:1 vs Sturm Graz II (-1.9)
5	Bregenz	30	38	34.4	+3.6Outperforming	14	+5.7	-2.1	1:2 vs Amstetten (+1.9)	1:3 vs Stripfing (-1.3)
6	Ried	30	65	63.1	+1.9On expectation	1	-2.9	+4.9	1:2 vs St. Polten (+1.5)	2:3 vs SK Rapid II (-2.2)
7	St. Polten	30	53	51.8	+1.2On expectation	3	-1.2	+2.4	2:4 vs Ried (+2.2)	2:1 vs Stripfing (-1.8)
8	Amstetten	30	42	40.9	+1.1On expectation	8	+1.7	-0.7	1:2 vs ASK Voitsberg (+2.0)	1:2 vs Bregenz (-1.6)
9	Horn	30	30	29.6	+0.4On expectation	15	-0.2	+0.6	1:3 vs Admira (+2.3)	2:3 vs SK Rapid II (-1.2)
10	Liefering	30	43	43.0	-0.0On expectation	5	-2.0	+2.0	3:1 vs Ried (+2.3)	0:1 vs Horn (-1.9)
11	Floridsdorfer AC	30	39	39.9	-0.9On expectation	9	+1.5	-2.4	2:1 vs First Vienna (+1.9)	3:1 vs Kapfenberg (-1.6)
12	SK Rapid II	30	37	39.2	-2.2Underperforming	10	+0.8	-3.1	2:3 vs Ried (+2.4)	2:3 vs Lafnitz (-2.0)
13	Stripfing	30	34	36.4	-2.4Underperforming	12	+2.0	-4.5	2:1 vs St. Polten (+2.1)	0:2 vs Bregenz (-1.5)
14	A. Lustenau	30	37	42.7	-5.7Underperforming −−	6	-7.3	+1.6	0:1 vs Liefering (+1.7)	1:2 vs Kapfenberg (-1.6)
15	ASK Voitsberg	30	32	41.7	-9.7Underperforming −−	7	-7.4	-2.3	0:4 vs Floridsdorfer AC (+1.8)	2:1 vs Horn (-1.9)
16	Lafnitz	30	16	28.3	-12.3Underperforming −−	16	-4.5	-7.8	2:3 vs SK Rapid II (+2.2)	1:4 vs Bregenz (-1.5)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Kapfenberg	30	54	37.3	+16.7Outperforming ++	11	+11.6	+5.1	2:1 vs Ried (+2.3)	3:1 vs Horn (-1.6)
2	Admira	30	59	52.3	+6.7Outperforming ++	2	+3.1	+3.5	0:2 vs First Vienna (+1.8)	2:3 vs Sturm Graz II (-2.3)
3	Sturm Graz II	30	41	35.3	+5.7Outperforming ++	13	+4.2	+1.5	2:3 vs Admira (+2.5)	1:3 vs Horn (-1.4)
4	First Vienna	30	49	45.2	+3.8Outperforming	4	+2.4	+1.4	0:2 vs ASK Voitsberg (+1.8)	4:1 vs Sturm Graz II (-1.9)
5	Bregenz	30	38	34.4	+3.6Outperforming	14	+5.7	-2.1	1:2 vs Amstetten (+1.9)	1:3 vs Stripfing (-1.3)
6	Ried	30	65	63.1	+1.9On expectation	1	-2.9	+4.9	1:2 vs St. Polten (+1.5)	2:3 vs SK Rapid II (-2.2)
7	St. Polten	30	53	51.8	+1.2On expectation	3	-1.2	+2.4	2:4 vs Ried (+2.2)	2:1 vs Stripfing (-1.8)
8	Amstetten	30	42	40.9	+1.1On expectation	8	+1.7	-0.7	1:2 vs ASK Voitsberg (+2.0)	1:2 vs Bregenz (-1.6)
9	Horn	30	30	29.6	+0.4On expectation	15	-0.2	+0.6	1:3 vs Admira (+2.3)	2:3 vs SK Rapid II (-1.2)
10	Liefering	30	43	43.0	-0.0On expectation	5	-2.0	+2.0	3:1 vs Ried (+2.3)	0:1 vs Horn (-1.9)
11	Floridsdorfer AC	30	39	39.9	-0.9On expectation	9	+1.5	-2.4	2:1 vs First Vienna (+1.9)	3:1 vs Kapfenberg (-1.6)
12	SK Rapid II	30	37	39.2	-2.2Underperforming	10	+0.8	-3.1	2:3 vs Ried (+2.4)	2:3 vs Lafnitz (-2.0)
13	Stripfing	30	34	36.4	-2.4Underperforming	12	+2.0	-4.5	2:1 vs St. Polten (+2.1)	0:2 vs Bregenz (-1.5)
14	A. Lustenau	30	37	42.7	-5.7Underperforming −−	6	-7.3	+1.6	0:1 vs Liefering (+1.7)	1:2 vs Kapfenberg (-1.6)
15	ASK Voitsberg	30	32	41.7	-9.7Underperforming −−	7	-7.4	-2.3	0:4 vs Floridsdorfer AC (+1.8)	2:1 vs Horn (-1.9)
16	Lafnitz	30	16	28.3	-12.3Underperforming −−	16	-4.5	-7.8	2:3 vs SK Rapid II (+2.2)	1:4 vs Bregenz (-1.5)