2. Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lafnitz | 30 | 55 | 43.0 | +12.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.2 | +11.8 | 0:2 vs A. Klagenfurt (+2.0) | 0:2 vs FC Juniors (-1.7) |
2 | BW Linz | 30 | 63 | 51.1 | +11.9Outperforming ++ | 4 | +10.1 | +1.8 | 0:4 vs Wacker Innsbruck (+1.9) | 1:0 vs FC Juniors (-2.1) |
3 | Dornbirn | 30 | 38 | 30.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 15 | -5.2 | +12.7 | 1:2 vs BW Linz (+2.3) | 1:2 vs SK Rapid II (-1.6) |
4 | Grazer AK | 30 | 46 | 40.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 6 | +5.5 | -0.1 | 1:4 vs Amstetten (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Dornbirn (-1.8) |
5 | Liefering | 30 | 63 | 58.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 1 | -2.7 | +7.0 | 0:1 vs Wacker Innsbruck (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Vorwarts Steyr (-2.4) |
6 | A. Klagenfurt | 30 | 59 | 55.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 2 | +5.6 | -1.9 | 2:3 vs Liefering (+1.7) | 2:3 vs SK Rapid II (-2.3) |
7 | Wacker Innsbruck | 30 | 57 | 55.1 | +1.9On expectation | 3 | -2.0 | +3.9 | 2:0 vs A. Klagenfurt (+1.5) | 0:1 vs FC Juniors (-2.2) |
8 | Vorwarts Steyr | 30 | 30 | 29.3 | +0.7On expectation | 16 | -3.3 | +4.0 | 0:1 vs Liefering (+2.6) | 0:3 vs Kapfenberg (-1.9) |
9 | Kapfenberg | 30 | 33 | 33.2 | -0.2On expectation | 14 | +1.4 | -1.6 | 0:3 vs Vorwarts Steyr (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Dornbirn (-1.4) |
10 | FC Juniors | 30 | 37 | 37.9 | -0.9On expectation | 11 | -1.7 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Wacker Innsbruck (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Vorwarts Steyr (-1.8) |
11 | Floridsdorfer AC | 30 | 36 | 39.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 9 | -0.3 | -2.7 | 2:3 vs FC Juniors (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Dornbirn (-1.8) |
12 | SK Rapid II | 30 | 30 | 34.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 13 | -4.0 | -0.2 | 2:3 vs A. Klagenfurt (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Vorwarts Steyr (-1.8) |
13 | Horn | 30 | 30 | 36.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 12 | +1.6 | -7.7 | 1:2 vs Floridsdorfer AC (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Dornbirn (-1.9) |
14 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 30 | 32 | 38.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 10 | -8.4 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Lafnitz (+1.9) | 2:4 vs Dornbirn (-1.9) |
15 | Amstetten | 30 | 31 | 40.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.7 | -4.5 | 0:3 vs Liefering (+2.3) | 1:0 vs SK Rapid II (-1.8) |
16 | A. Lustenau | 30 | 30 | 39.9 | -9.9Underperforming −− | 8 | -3.7 | -6.2 | 1:3 vs FC Juniors (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Dornbirn (-1.9) |
