2. Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Grazer AK | 30 | 69 | 54.8 | +14.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.2 | +9.0 | 0:1 vs Ried (+1.9) | 4:1 vs Lafnitz (-1.9) |
2 | First Vienna | 30 | 51 | 40.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 8 | +8.2 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs St. Polten (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Dornbirn (-1.7) |
3 | Bregenz | 30 | 39 | 33.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 14 | -3.0 | +8.4 | 1:2 vs Floridsdorfer AC (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Kapfenberg (-1.7) |
4 | Horn | 30 | 41 | 35.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 11 | +6.8 | -1.5 | 0:2 vs St. Polten (+2.4) | 4:0 vs Dornbirn (-1.5) |
5 | Leoben | 30 | 51 | 47.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 5 | +1.8 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs St. Polten (+1.9) | 0:1 vs First Vienna (-1.7) |
6 | Liefering | 30 | 47 | 44.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 7 | +0.7 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs St. Polten (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Dornbirn (-1.9) |
7 | Admira | 30 | 47 | 44.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 6 | +5.8 | -3.5 | 3:2 vs Ried (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Horn (-1.6) |
8 | Floridsdorfer AC | 30 | 49 | 47.4 | +1.6On expectation | 4 | +0.9 | +0.8 | 0:2 vs Ried (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Horn (-1.9) |
9 | Dornbirn | 30 | 33 | 31.8 | +1.2On expectation | 15 | -0.0 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Liefering (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Kapfenberg (-1.5) |
10 | Ried | 30 | 59 | 57.9 | +1.1On expectation | 1 | +4.9 | -3.8 | 2:0 vs Leoben (+1.4) | 2:1 vs First Vienna (-1.9) |
11 | Lafnitz | 30 | 37 | 36.2 | +0.8On expectation | 10 | +2.5 | -1.6 | 4:1 vs Grazer AK (+2.1) | 2:3 vs First Vienna (-1.5) |
12 | Kapfenberg | 30 | 35 | 34.3 | +0.8On expectation | 12 | -3.7 | +4.5 | 2:3 vs Stripfing (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Lafnitz (-1.7) |
13 | Stripfing | 30 | 35 | 39.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 9 | -2.1 | -2.2 | 1:2 vs St. Polten (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Kapfenberg (-1.8) |
14 | Sturm Graz II | 30 | 23 | 28.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 16 | -3.4 | -2.0 | 2:0 vs Stripfing (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Bregenz (-1.4) |
15 | St. Polten | 30 | 40 | 50.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 3 | -8.4 | -2.3 | 1:3 vs Horn (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Horn (-2.1) |
16 | Amstetten | 30 | 16 | 33.7 | -17.7Underperforming −− | 13 | -11.3 | -6.5 | 3:2 vs Floridsdorfer AC (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Bregenz (-1.7) |
