The season in numbers
Blindly backing home wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
St. Polten produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31.5' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →Bregenz – Floridsdorfer AC2026-09-12 13:30
Away win ✓57.0%vs 39.1%▲ +17.9%Kapfenberg – Amstetten2026-09-18 16:30
Home win ✓33.4%vs 26.7%▲ +6.7%Liefering – St. Polten2026-09-13 08:30
Under 1.5 HT ✓69.2%vs 63.7%▲ +5.5%A. Salzburg – Sturm Graz II2026-09-12 13:30
Over 1.5 HT44.1%vs 44.6%-0.6%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bregenz– Floridsdorfer AC | 2026-09-12 | 13:30 | Away win ✓ | 57.0% | 39.1% | ▲ +17.9% | 2.56 | |
| 2 | Kapfenberg– Amstetten | 2026-09-18 | 16:30 | Home win ✓ | 33.4% | 26.7% | ▲ +6.7% | 3.75 | |
| 3 | Liefering– St. Polten | 2026-09-13 | 08:30 | Under 1.5 HT ✓ | 69.2% | 63.7% | ▲ +5.5% | 1.57 | |
| 4 | A. Salzburg– Sturm Graz II | 2026-09-12 | 13:30 | Over 1.5 HT | 44.1% | 44.6% | -0.6% | 2.24 |
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 11 SeptWe simulate the remaining 2. Liga schedule 10,000 times a day. BW Linz win the 2026-2027 title in 93% of them, projecting ~67 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Bregenz finish in the bottom three in 61% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BW Linz | 12 | 67 | 59–74 | 93% | >99% | — |
| 2 | Floridsdorfer AC | 10 | 51 | 43–59 | 3% | 65% | <1% |
| 3 | Wacker Innsbruck | 9 | 50 | 41–58 | 2% | 56% | <1% |
| 4 | First Vienna | 10 | 47 | 39–55 | <1% | 39% | <1% |
| 5 | Liefering | 10 | 47 | 39–55 | 1% | 39% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 6 | 32 | 24–39 | — | <1% | 48% |
| 15 | Kapfenberg | 3 | 30 | 22–38 | — | <1% | 57% |
| 16 | Bregenz | 7 | 30 | 22–38 | — | <1% | 61% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 200 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/austria/2-liga/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="2. Liga live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/austria/2-liga">2. Liga stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every 2. Liga match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BW Linz | 12 | 9.4 | +2.6 | |
| 2 | Liefering | 10 | 7.5 | +2.5 | |
| 3 | First Vienna | 10 | 8.2 | +1.8 | |
| 4 | Floridsdorfer AC | 10 | 6.6 | +3.4 | |
| 5 | A. Salzburg | 9 | 7.0 | +2.0 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 | Hertha Wels | 4 | 6.5 | -2.5 | |
| 15 | St. Polten | 3 | 8.1 | -5.1 | |
| 16 | Kapfenberg | 3 | 4.8 | -1.8 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+









First Vienna
Hertha Wels

