Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctThe season in numbers
Away wins paid out more than the market charged: +18.5% at market prices across 48 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
Chonburi produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 27' on average.
Add Thai League 1 fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctWe simulate the remaining Thai League 1 schedule 10,000 times a day. Buriram win the 2026-2027 title in 66% of them, projecting ~64 points; Port MTI FC are next at 23%. At the other end, Rasisalai Utd finish in the bottom three in 99% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Buriram | 13 | 64 | 57–71 | 66% | 98% | — |
| 2 |  Port MTI FC | 15 | 59 | 51–67 | 23% | 92% | — |
| 3 |  Bangkok Utd | 10 | 53 | 46–61 | 5% | 70% | <1% |
| 4 |  Ratchaburi | 10 | 52 | 44–59 | 4% | 60% | <1% |
| 5 |  Prachuap | 13 | 48 | 40–55 | 1% | 30% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 14 |  Chonburi | 3 | 33 | 25–40 | — | <1% | 37% |
| 15 | Pattani | 4 | 30 | 22–37 | — | <1% | 58% |
| 16 | Rasisalai Utd | 1 | 16 | 10–23 | — | — | 99% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 192 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/thailand/thai-league-1/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Thai League 1 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/thailand/thai-league-1">Thai League 1 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Thai League 1 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port MTI FC | 15 | 11.8 | +3.2 | |
| 2 | Prachuap | 13 | 9.5 | +3.5 | |
| 3 | Buriram | 13 | 14.1 | -1.1 | |
| 4 | Ratchaburi | 10 | 10.3 | -0.3 | |
| 5 |  Uthai Thani | 10 | 9.7 | +0.3 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 | Pattani | 4 | 4.5 | -0.5 | |
| 15 | Chonburi | 3 | 7.8 | -4.8 | |
| 16 | Rasisalai Utd | 1 | 5.5 | -4.5 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+