The season in numbers
The outlier
+2.8uBlindly backing ht over 1.5 in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Fast starts
50%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 21.1' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Thai League 1 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
HT Over 1.5▲ +2.8u
10 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Thai League 1 match in 2026-2027: +2.8 units over 10 flat-stake bets.Home wins▲ +1.4u
10 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Thai League 1 match in 2026-2027: +1.4 units over 10 flat-stake bets.Draws▲ +0.7u
10 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Thai League 1 match in 2026-2027: +0.7 units over 10 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▲ +0.3u
10 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Thai League 1 match in 2026-2027: +0.3 units over 10 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -1.8u
10 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Thai League 1 match in 2026-2027: -1.8 units over 10 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▼ -2.5u
10 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Thai League 1 match in 2026-2027: -2.5 units over 10 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -3.2u
10 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Thai League 1 match in 2026-2027: -3.2 units over 10 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Port MTI FC | 6 | 4.4 | +1.6 | |
| 2 |  Buriram | 4 | 4.9 | -0.9 | |
| 3 |  Chiangrai Utd | 4 | 1.7 | +2.3 | |
| 4 |  Uthai Thani | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8 | |
| 5 |  Bangkok Utd | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 |  Sukhothai | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | |
| 15 | Sisaket United | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | |
| 16 |  Lamphun Warrior | 0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €295 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+