Thai League 1hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 69 | 58.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.0 | +5.8 | 3:2 vs Buriram (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Muang Thong Utd (-1.4) |
2 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 52 | 45.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 6 | +5.4 | +0.8 | 3:2 vs Buriram (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Nakhon Pathom (-2.1) |
3 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 36 | 31.1 | +5.0Outperforming | 14 | +10.2 | -5.3 | 3:1 vs Muang Thong Utd (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (-1.6) |
4 | Sukhothai | 30 | 36 | 32.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 11 | +6.6 | -3.4 | 3:2 vs Port MTI FC (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Uthai Thani (-1.5) |
5 | Pathum United | 30 | 53 | 51.6 | +1.4On expectation | 4 | +3.1 | -1.7 | 1:2 vs Buriram (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Rayong FC (-2.5) |
6 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 32 | 30.7 | +1.3On expectation | 15 | +2.4 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Pathum United (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Nakhon Pathom (-1.7) |
7 | Prachuap | 30 | 44 | 42.8 | +1.2On expectation | 7 | +6.6 | -5.4 | 0:2 vs Port MTI FC (+2.2) | 3:2 vs Rayong FC (-1.6) |
8 | Buriram | 30 | 70 | 69.1 | +0.9On expectation | 1 | -0.3 | +1.2 | 0:2 vs Pathum United (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Port MTI FC (-2.5) |
9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 32 | 31.7 | +0.3On expectation | 12 | +1.1 | -0.8 | 0:1 vs Pathum United (+2.6) | 2:3 vs Uthai Thani (-1.4) |
10 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 37 | 38.1 | -1.1On expectation | 9 | +2.6 | -3.7 | 2:3 vs Sukhothai (+1.8) | 3:2 vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (-1.4) |
11 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 48 | 52.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 3 | -3.7 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Buriram (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Khonkaen Utd. (-2.5) |
12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 37 | 41.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 8 | +1.1 | -5.1 | 3:2 vs Port MTI FC (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Khonkaen Utd. (-2.1) |
13 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 45 | 49.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 5 | +3.9 | -8.6 | 2:1 vs Bangkok Utd (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Khonkaen Utd. (-2.1) |
14 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 30 | 27 | 32.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 10 | +0.8 | -6.7 | 1:0 vs Prachuap (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Chiangrai Utd (-1.8) |
15 | Khonkaen Utd. | 30 | 18 | 25.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 16 | -5.4 | -1.7 | 1:2 vs Port MTI FC (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Rayong FC (-1.4) |
16 | Nakhon Pathom | 30 | 23 | 31.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 13 | -7.1 | -1.1 | 2:3 vs Ratchaburi (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (-1.7) |
