Thai League 1hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Buriram | 30 | 74 | 65.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.2 | +5.1 | 1:3 vs Port MTI FC (+1.3) | 2:3 vs Port MTI FC (-2.0) |
2 | Police Tero | 30 | 43 | 35.3 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 10 | +5.9 | +1.9 | 1:0 vs Bangkok Utd (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Sukhothai (-1.5) |
3 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 62 | 57.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 2 | +5.5 | -0.7 | 4:3 vs Buriram (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Ratchaburi (-2.1) |
4 | Sukhothai | 30 | 34 | 31.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 14 | +3.3 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Pathum United (+2.6) | 2:3 vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (-1.7) |
5 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 50 | 47.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 5 | +3.3 | -0.8 | 2:3 vs Port MTI FC (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Chiangrai Utd (-2.2) |
6 | Khonkaen Utd. | 30 | 33 | 30.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 15 | +5.7 | -3.6 | 0:2 vs Ratchaburi (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Prachuap (-1.3) |
7 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 36 | 34.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 11 | +2.5 | -0.5 | 2:1 vs Bangkok Utd (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Khonkaen Utd. (-1.3) |
8 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 44 | 42.2 | +1.8On expectation | 7 | +3.3 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs Muang Thong Utd (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Prachuap (-1.5) |
9 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 52 | 50.7 | +1.3On expectation | 4 | +2.4 | -1.1 | 2:3 vs Buriram (+2.2) | 3:1 vs Lamphun Warrior (-1.7) |
10 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 41 | 41.6 | -0.6On expectation | 8 | -0.6 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs Bangkok Utd (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Khonkaen Utd. (-2.0) |
11 | Chonburi | 30 | 43 | 44.5 | -1.5On expectation | 6 | +0.8 | -2.3 | 1:0 vs Pathum United (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Chiangrai Utd (-1.7) |
12 | Prachuap | 30 | 35 | 37.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 9 | +0.7 | -3.2 | 1:2 vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (+1.9) | 4:3 vs Lampang (-2.3) |
13 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 29 | 32.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 13 | -0.1 | -3.8 | 0:1 vs Prachuap (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Police Tero (-1.8) |
14 | Lampang | 30 | 19 | 24.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 16 | -1.1 | -4.4 | 4:3 vs Prachuap (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Sukhothai (-1.5) |
15 | Pathum United | 30 | 41 | 52.4 | -11.4Underperforming −− | 3 | +1.4 | -12.8 | 4:2 vs Ratchaburi (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Sukhothai (-2.4) |
16 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 30 | 21 | 33.3 | -12.3Underperforming −− | 12 | -3.3 | -9.0 | 1:3 vs Pathum United (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Lamphun Warrior (-1.7) |
