Thai League 1hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 59 | 48.4 | +10.6Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.7 | +9.9 | 1:4 vs Bangkok Utd (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Chiangrai Utd (-2.1) |
2 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 40 | 34.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 14 | +3.6 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Ratchaburi (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Rayong FC (-1.7) |
3 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 60 | 54.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.0 | -1.2 | 0:1 vs Prachuap (+1.6) | 5:2 vs Rayong FC (-1.8) |
4 | Buriram | 30 | 70 | 65.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 1 | +2.4 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs Bangkok Utd (+1.5) | 4:2 vs Chonburi (-2.2) |
5 | Pathum United | 30 | 52 | 48.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 4 | +2.1 | +1.5 | 2:0 vs Port MTI FC (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Chonburi (-1.9) |
6 | Prachuap | 30 | 45 | 42.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 6 | +5.3 | -2.5 | 1:4 vs Muang Thong Utd (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Port MTI FC (-1.4) |
7 | Chonburi | 30 | 39 | 37.5 | +1.6On expectation | 8 | +1.1 | +0.4 | 4:2 vs Buriram (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Ayutthaya Utd (-1.7) |
8 | Rayong FC | 30 | 37 | 36.0 | +1.0On expectation | 11 | +6.2 | -5.3 | 3:0 vs Buriram (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (-1.8) |
9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 30 | 32 | 34.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 13 | -10.0 | +7.6 | 1:2 vs Ratchaburi (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (-2.0) |
10 | Sukhothai | 30 | 28 | 30.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 15 | +5.4 | -8.3 | 1:0 vs Port MTI FC (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Lamphun Warrior (-1.3) |
11 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 50 | 53.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 3 | -0.1 | -2.9 | 0:2 vs Buriram (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Uthai Thani (-2.2) |
12 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 24 | 27.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 16 | -0.8 | -2.8 | 0:1 vs Ayutthaya Utd (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Ayutthaya Utd (-1.4) |
13 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 31 | 36.6 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.6 | -4.0 | 1:2 vs Bangkok Utd (+2.4) | 1:4 vs Ayutthaya Utd (-1.7) |
14 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 29 | 37.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 9 | -5.8 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Sukhothai (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Ratchaburi (-1.3) |
15 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 23 | 35.4 | -12.4Underperforming −− | 12 | -6.0 | -6.5 | 0:2 vs Ayutthaya Utd (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Ayutthaya Utd (-1.7) |
16 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 26 | 40.3 | -14.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.4 | -9.9 | 0:2 vs Chiangrai Utd (+1.8) | 1:4 vs Prachuap (-1.8) |
