Thai League 1hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 30 | 47 | 35.8 | +11.2Outperforming ++ | 10 | +9.0 | +2.2 | 3:1 vs Pathum United (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Samut Prakan City (-1.5) |
2 | Khonkaen Utd. | 30 | 37 | 29.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 15 | +5.2 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Ratchaburi (-1.3) |
3 | Pathum United | 30 | 60 | 53.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +7.9 | -1.6 | 0:1 vs Buriram (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Police Tero (-2.0) |
4 | Police Tero | 30 | 37 | 33.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 12 | +2.9 | +0.3 | 0:3 vs Pathum United (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (-1.6) |
5 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 37 | 34.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 11 | +5.3 | -2.4 | 2:0 vs Muang Thong Utd (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Khonkaen Utd. (-1.8) |
6 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 49 | 48.0 | +1.0On expectation | 4 | +7.3 | -6.3 | 0:1 vs Chiangrai Utd (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (-2.2) |
7 | Buriram | 30 | 62 | 61.1 | +0.9On expectation | 1 | -0.3 | +1.2 | 0:2 vs Port MTI FC (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Prachuap (-2.5) |
8 | Chonburi | 30 | 44 | 44.4 | -0.4On expectation | 7 | +2.8 | -3.2 | 1:2 vs Port MTI FC (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Police Tero (-2.0) |
9 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 47 | 47.5 | -0.5On expectation | 5 | -9.7 | +9.2 | 1:2 vs Samut Prakan City (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Prachuap (-2.0) |
10 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 53 | 53.8 | -0.8On expectation | 2 | +4.0 | -4.9 | 2:0 vs Buriram (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Suphanburi (-2.1) |
11 | Suphanburi | 30 | 30 | 30.9 | -0.9On expectation | 14 | +0.9 | -1.8 | 2:1 vs Buriram (+2.5) | 2:4 vs Khonkaen Utd. (-1.6) |
12 | Prachuap | 30 | 31 | 32.9 | -1.9On expectation | 13 | -2.9 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Buriram (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Suphanburi (-1.7) |
13 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 36 | 40.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 8 | +2.0 | -5.9 | 1:2 vs Chiangmai Utd (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Chiangrai Utd (-1.6) |
14 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 39 | 46.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 6 | +0.5 | -8.1 | 0:4 vs Chiangrai Utd (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Chiangmai Utd (-2.2) |
15 | Chiangmai Utd | 30 | 19 | 28.7 | -9.7Underperforming −− | 16 | -7.9 | -1.8 | 1:2 vs Port MTI FC (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Suphanburi (-1.5) |
16 | Samut Prakan City | 30 | 28 | 38.5 | -10.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -7.3 | -3.2 | 0:2 vs Port MTI FC (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Suphanburi (-1.9) |
