Thai League 1 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sisaket United | 6 | 10 | 5.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 13 | +0.2 | +4.2 | 2:3 vs Buriram (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Ayutthaya Utd (-1.4) |
2 | Sukhothai | 6 | 9 | 5.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 15 | +2.9 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Uthai Thani (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Prachuap (-0.7) |
3 | Prachuap | 6 | 13 | 9.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 7 | +1.8 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs Chonburi (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Rayong FC (-1.4) |
4 | Port MTI FC | 6 | 15 | 11.8 | +3.1Outperforming | 2 | +2.1 | +1.0 | 0:2 vs Bangkok Utd (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Sukhothai (-1.9) |
5 | Ayutthaya Utd | 6 | 10 | 7.3 | +2.8Outperforming | 10 | -0.8 | +3.6 | 2:1 vs Ratchaburi (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Uthai Thani (-1.4) |
6 | Rayong FC | 6 | 8 | 5.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 12 | +1.1 | +1.0 | 2:3 vs Chonburi (+2.1) | 4:1 vs Port MTI FC (-0.6) |
7 | Uthai Thani | 6 | 10 | 9.7 | +0.3On expectation | 6 | -3.0 | +3.3 | 1:4 vs Lamphun Warrior (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Pattani (-2.1) |
8 | Bangkok Utd | 6 | 10 | 10.2 | -0.2On expectation | 5 | +0.4 | -0.5 | 3:2 vs Pathum United (+1.4) | 0:2 vs Port MTI FC (-1.7) |
9 | Ratchaburi | 6 | 10 | 10.3 | -0.3On expectation | 4 | +0.5 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Bangkok Utd (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Chonburi (-2.0) |
10 | Pattani | 6 | 4 | 4.5 | -0.5On expectation | 16 | -1.5 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Uthai Thani (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Prachuap (-1.1) |
11 | Lamphun Warrior | 6 | 7 | 7.8 | -0.8On expectation | 9 | -1.5 | +0.7 | 0:2 vs Ayutthaya Utd (+1.7) | 1:4 vs Uthai Thani (-1.5) |
12 | Buriram | 6 | 13 | 14.1 | -1.1On expectation | 1 | -3.5 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Chonburi (+1.0) | 2:3 vs Sisaket United (-2.5) |
13 | Pathum United | 6 | 9 | 10.7 | -1.7On expectation | 3 | +0.7 | -2.4 | 2:0 vs Chiangrai Utd (+1.1) | 1:1 vs Ayutthaya Utd (-1.1) |
14 | Chiangrai Utd | 6 | 4 | 6.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 11 | -1.4 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Chonburi (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Sisaket United (-1.8) |
15 | Rasisalai Utd | 6 | 1 | 5.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 14 | -2.2 | -2.3 | 1:1 vs Lamphun Warrior (+-0.3) | 1:4 vs Ayutthaya Utd (-1.3) |
16 | Chonburi | 6 | 3 | 7.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 8 | -4.2 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Ratchaburi (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Rayong FC (-1.9) |
