Thai League 1 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Chiangrai Utd | 2 | 4 | 1.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 6 | +1.6 | +0.7 | 1:0 vs Chonburi (+1.6) | 1:1 vs Buriram (0.7) |
2 | Ayutthaya Utd | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0On expectation | 12 | +2.0 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Ratchaburi (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Ratchaburi (2.0) |
3 | Uthai Thani | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 11 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:4 vs Lamphun Warrior (+1.8) | 1:4 vs Lamphun Warrior (1.8) |
4 | Rayong FC | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 10 | +1.7 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Prachuap (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Prachuap (1.7) |
5 | Port MTI FC | 2 | 6 | 4.4 | +1.6On expectation | 2 | +0.7 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Rasisalai Utd (+0.9) | 2:1 vs Lamphun Warrior (0.7) |
6 | Bangkok Utd | 1 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7On expectation | 3 | +0.7 | 0.0 | 3:1 vs Sisaket United (+0.7) | 3:1 vs Sisaket United (0.7) |
7 | Pattani | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1On expectation | 13 | +0.1 | 0.0 | 0:0 vs Pathum United (+0.1) | 0:0 vs Pathum United (0.1) |
8 | Sukhothai | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5On expectation | 16 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 1:3 vs Buriram (+-0.5) | 1:3 vs Buriram (-0.5) |
9 | Sisaket United | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5On expectation | 15 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 3:1 vs Bangkok Utd (+-0.5) | 3:1 vs Bangkok Utd (-0.5) |
10 | Rasisalai Utd | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 14 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 1:2 vs Port MTI FC (+-0.7) | 1:2 vs Port MTI FC (-0.7) |
11 | Pathum United | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8On expectation | 5 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 0:0 vs Pattani (+-0.8) | 0:0 vs Pattani (-0.8) |
12 | Buriram | 2 | 4 | 4.9 | -0.9On expectation | 1 | -1.6 | +0.6 | 1:3 vs Sukhothai (+0.6) | 1:1 vs Chiangrai Utd (-1.6) |
13 | Chonburi | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 9 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs Chiangrai Utd (+-1.3) | 1:0 vs Chiangrai Utd (-1.3) |
14 | Prachuap | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 8 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Rayong FC (+-1.4) | 1:0 vs Rayong FC (-1.4) |
15 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 1.7 | -1.7On expectation | 7 | 0.0 | -1.7 | 2:1 vs Ayutthaya Utd (+-1.7) | 2:1 vs Ayutthaya Utd (-1.7) |
16 | Lamphun Warrior | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | -2.0On expectation | 4 | -1.5 | -0.5 | 2:1 vs Port MTI FC (+-0.5) | 1:4 vs Uthai Thani (-1.5) |
