Super Lig 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kocaelispor | 6 | 12 | 6.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 15 | +4.6 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Konyaspor (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Basaksehir (-0.8) |
2 | Amedspor | 6 | 13 | 7.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 8 | +6.9 | -1.6 | 3:2 vs Besiktas (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Kocaelispor (-1.2) |
3 | Alanyaspor | 6 | 11 | 7.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 11 | +1.6 | +2.2 | 1:0 vs Besiktas (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Eyupspor (-1.6) |
4 | Kasimpasa | 6 | 10 | 6.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 14 | -0.9 | +4.0 | 0:1 vs Corum (+2.0) | 0:0 vs Konyaspor (-0.5) |
5 | Gaziantep | 6 | 8 | 7.0 | +1.0On expectation | 13 | -1.3 | +2.3 | 2:4 vs Goztepe (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Kocaelispor (-1.2) |
6 | Erzurumspor | 6 | 7 | 6.2 | +0.8On expectation | 17 | +2.4 | -1.6 | 1:0 vs Samsunspor (+1.6) | 3:0 vs Amedspor (-1.1) |
7 | Rizespor | 6 | 10 | 9.4 | +0.6On expectation | 5 | -3.5 | +4.2 | 0:1 vs Konyaspor (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Alanyaspor (-1.8) |
8 | Genclerbirligi | 6 | 7 | 6.4 | +0.6On expectation | 16 | +0.1 | +0.5 | 2:1 vs Fenerbahce (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Kasimpasa (-1.5) |
9 | Galatasaray | 6 | 13 | 12.7 | +0.3On expectation | 2 | -0.1 | +0.4 | 2:3 vs Basaksehir (+1.0) | 4:0 vs Trabzonspor (-1.5) |
10 | Besiktas | 6 | 12 | 11.8 | +0.2On expectation | 3 | +2.0 | -1.8 | 1:2 vs Fenerbahce (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Alanyaspor (-1.9) |
11 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 10 | 10.1 | -0.1On expectation | 4 | +3.9 | -4.0 | 4:0 vs Galatasaray (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Konyaspor (-1.7) |
12 | Corum | 6 | 7 | 7.8 | -0.8On expectation | 7 | -2.4 | +1.6 | 1:5 vs Samsunspor (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Kasimpasa (-1.7) |
13 | Eyupspor | 6 | 3 | 4.8 | -1.8On expectation | 18 | -0.3 | -1.6 | 2:1 vs Alanyaspor (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Gaziantep (-1.2) |
14 | Basaksehir | 6 | 7 | 9.0 | -2.0On expectation | 6 | +0.4 | -2.3 | 4:0 vs Genclerbirligi (+1.1) | 5:0 vs Amedspor (-1.3) |
15 | Fenerbahce | 6 | 10 | 12.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 1 | -0.6 | -2.1 | 0:2 vs Samsunspor (+1.0) | 2:1 vs Genclerbirligi (-2.0) |
16 | Konyaspor | 6 | 4 | 7.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 12 | -1.2 | -1.9 | 1:0 vs Trabzonspor (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Kocaelispor (-1.7) |
17 | Samsunspor | 6 | 4 | 7.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 10 | -2.8 | -0.5 | 0:2 vs Rizespor (+2.0) | 1:5 vs Corum (-1.5) |
18 | Goztepe | 6 | 3 | 7.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 9 | -3.9 | -0.8 | 2:2 vs Alanyaspor (+-0.2) | 2:4 vs Gaziantep (-1.8) |
