Super Lighub →Super Lig 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Amedspor | 11 | 23 | 15.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 5 | +8.8 | -1.4 | 3:2 vs Besiktas (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Kocaelispor (-1.2) |
2 | Kasimpasa | 11 | 20 | 12.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 13 | +1.0 | +6.3 | 0:1 vs Corum (+2.0) | 3:1 vs Galatasaray (-0.5) |
3 | Kocaelispor | 11 | 19 | 12.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 16 | +2.9 | +3.7 | 1:2 vs Konyaspor (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Goztepe (-1.2) |
4 | Trabzonspor | 11 | 25 | 19.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 4 | +6.2 | -0.5 | 4:0 vs Galatasaray (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Konyaspor (-1.7) |
5 | Galatasaray | 11 | 28 | 23.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 1 | +2.7 | +2.1 | 2:1 vs Fenerbahce (+1.3) | 4:0 vs Trabzonspor (-1.5) |
6 | Basaksehir | 11 | 17 | 15.5 | +1.5On expectation | 6 | +2.7 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Goztepe (+1.9) | 5:0 vs Amedspor (-1.3) |
7 | Corum | 11 | 16 | 14.5 | +1.5On expectation | 9 | -2.2 | +3.6 | 1:5 vs Samsunspor (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Kasimpasa (-1.7) |
8 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 14 | 12.7 | +1.3On expectation | 15 | +2.0 | -0.7 | 1:3 vs Gaziantep (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Corum (-1.3) |
9 | Genclerbirligi | 11 | 11 | 10.5 | +0.5On expectation | 17 | +1.2 | -0.7 | 2:1 vs Fenerbahce (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Kasimpasa (-1.5) |
10 | Goztepe | 11 | 15 | 14.9 | +0.1On expectation | 8 | -4.1 | +4.3 | 1:2 vs Fenerbahce (+2.3) | 2:4 vs Gaziantep (-1.8) |
11 | Besiktas | 11 | 22 | 22.6 | -0.6On expectation | 2 | +3.6 | -4.3 | 1:2 vs Fenerbahce (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Alanyaspor (-1.9) |
12 | Alanyaspor | 11 | 12 | 13.2 | -1.2On expectation | 12 | -1.5 | +0.3 | 1:0 vs Besiktas (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Kocaelispor (-1.6) |
13 | Rizespor | 11 | 14 | 15.3 | -1.3On expectation | 7 | -4.1 | +2.8 | 0:1 vs Konyaspor (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Alanyaspor (-1.8) |
14 | Fenerbahce | 11 | 19 | 21.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 3 | -2.0 | -0.8 | 0:5 vs Corum (+1.3) | 1:2 vs Goztepe (-2.1) |
15 | Gaziantep | 11 | 8 | 12.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 14 | -5.7 | +1.0 | 2:4 vs Goztepe (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Erzurumspor (-1.6) |
16 | Konyaspor | 11 | 8 | 13.4 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.4 | -4.1 | 1:0 vs Trabzonspor (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Kocaelispor (-1.7) |
17 | Eyupspor | 11 | 3 | 8.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 18 | -3.0 | -2.8 | 2:1 vs Alanyaspor (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Gaziantep (-1.2) |
18 | Samsunspor | 11 | 7 | 13.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 11 | -3.6 | -2.7 | 0:2 vs Rizespor (+2.0) | 1:5 vs Corum (-1.5) |