Super Lig 2022-2023 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Galatasaray	36	88	67.3	+20.7Outperforming ++	1	+7.7	+6.9	0:3 vs Fenerbahce (+1.9)	0:1 vs Giresunspor (-2.1)
2	Besiktas	36	78	60.3	+17.7Outperforming ++	3	+6.0	+5.7	2:4 vs Fenerbahce (+2.0)	2:1 vs Hatayspor (-1.9)
3	Adana Demirspor	36	69	51.6	+17.4Outperforming ++	5	+6.3	+5.1	1:2 vs Konyaspor (+1.7)	2:3 vs Basaksehir (-2.0)
4	Fenerbahce	36	80	66.7	+13.3Outperforming ++	2	+1.5	+5.8	0:6 vs Kasimpasa (+1.3)	1:2 vs Giresunspor (-2.3)
5	Basaksehir	36	62	50.5	+11.4Outperforming ++	6	+5.0	+0.5	2:3 vs Adana Demirspor (+2.2)	0:2 vs Sivasspor (-1.9)
6	Karagumruk	36	51	40.6	+10.4Outperforming ++	13	+1.5	+2.9	4:1 vs Trabzonspor (+2.1)	1:2 vs Istanbulspor AS (-1.8)
7	Kayserispor	36	50	39.7	+10.3Outperforming ++	14	+1.1	+3.2	3:4 vs Trabzonspor (+2.3)	2:4 vs Karagumruk (-1.6)
8	Istanbulspor AS	36	41	33.0	+8.0Outperforming ++	17	+0.1	+1.9	0:1 vs Alanyaspor (+2.4)	0:1 vs Hatayspor (-1.5)
9	Konyaspor	36	51	47.6	+3.4Outperforming	7	-6.2	+3.6	2:1 vs Galatasaray (+2.1)	0:1 vs Istanbulspor AS (-2.1)
10	Giresunspor	36	40	39.2	+0.8On expectation	15	-3.8	-1.4	1:2 vs Fenerbahce (+2.5)	0:1 vs Umraniyespor (-1.6)
11	Hatayspor	36	23	22.3	+0.7On expectation	19	+3.8	-3.1	2:1 vs Besiktas (+2.2)	0:4 vs Kayserispor (-1.5)
12	Kasimpasa	36	43	43.3	-0.3On expectation	12	-1.4	-1.9	0:2 vs Antalyaspor (+2.1)	2:1 vs Istanbulspor AS (-1.7)
13	Trabzonspor	36	57	57.7	-0.7On expectation	4	+6.0	-9.7	2:0 vs Fenerbahce (+1.7)	1:2 vs Umraniyespor (-2.2)
14	Gaziantep	36	25	26.6	-1.6On expectation	18	-0.8	-0.8	0:1 vs Konyaspor (+2.1)	1:2 vs Kayserispor (-1.5)
15	Alanyaspor	36	41	43.6	-2.6Underperforming	11	-0.4	-8.2	0:4 vs Kayserispor (+1.8)	0:1 vs Istanbulspor AS (-2.2)
16	Ankaragucu	36	42	44.9	-2.9Underperforming	9	-4.3	-1.6	0:2 vs Antalyaspor (+1.9)	0:2 vs Gaziantep (-1.9)
17	Sivasspor	36	41	44.0	-3.0Underperforming	10	-4.7	-1.2	0:2 vs Basaksehir (+2.2)	1:2 vs Hatayspor (-1.7)
18	Umraniyespor	36	30	34.9	-4.9Underperforming	16	-10.8	-0.1	1:2 vs Trabzonspor (+2.4)	0:2 vs Istanbulspor AS (-1.6)
19	Antalyaspor	36	41	47.2	-6.2Underperforming −−	8	-2.9	-6.4	0:2 vs Sivasspor (+1.9)	0:2 vs Kasimpasa (-1.9)